Ad Disclosure
Bill Connelly’s SP+ projections for Week 8 have been posted, and they provide some insight on what the data tells us about the season so far.
Almost all the SEC matchups should go according to plan, with a majority of the higher-ranked teams favored by the model. The biggest surprise is Texas A&M at South Carolina. The Gamecocks are 3.5 underdogs per Vegas but the SP+ model has them winning by a narrow .4 margin. Ole Miss is favored to leave Baton Rogue with a win and Missouri looks to get its first conference victory this week against Vanderbilt. Connelly’s system has Alabama bouncing back with a big win against Mississippi State.
- Tennessee 54, UT Martin 15
- Alabama 36, Mississippi State 21
- Ole Miss 31, LSU 25
- South Carolina 25, Texas A&M 24
- Missouri 35, Vanderbilt 19
The computer model is “opponent- and tempo-adjusted look at the most sustainable and predictive aspects of college football. It is intended to be predictive and forward-facing.”
Connelly shared the score projections for the top games and a link to the full list:
?? WEEK 8 SP+ PICKS ??
Oregon 34, UCLA 32
Clemson 31, Syracuse 22
Texas 31, OSU 29
Bama 36, Miss St 21
TCU 31, KSU 27
Ole Miss 31, LSU 25
Ohio St 35, Iowa 13
Cincy 33, SMU 2755% ATS last week! 12.3 PPG abs error for the season! Hell yes!https://t.co/7YPZkyYWYb pic.twitter.com/cQ6gvJuQO3
— Bill Connelly (@ESPN_BillC) October 17, 2022
Scott Green has been covering and following college football since 2017. After primarily covering the Georgia Bulldogs, Scott began to branch out and build relationships with other national media members. He played football and graduated from the LaGrange College in 2014. He currently is enlisted in the Georgia Army National Guard after deploying with them in 2019 to Afghanistan.
