ESPN’s Bill Connelly has released his SP+picks for Week 12, using his patented formula to unveil not just which teams could win, but what the final score could be. SP+, according to Connelly, is ” a tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency.” He developed the system in 2008, eventually ending up with ESPN, where they use it on a weekly basis to help project outcomes of games.
However, as he does every week when he releases his updated rankings, Connelly notes that SP+ “is not a résumé ranking that gives credit for big wins or particularly brave scheduling,” but “simply a measure of the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football”.
One interesting note about the SP+ score predictions: they have ended up 52% against the spread this year after last week’s games.
Here is the projected score of each SEC game this weekend, along with each team’s SP+ ranking:
- Alabama 43, Kentucky 15
- Florida 47, Vanderbilt 12
- Georgia 35, Mississippi State 13
- Auburn 32, Tennessee 19
- South Carolina 27, Missouri 26
- LSU 31, Arkansas 28
You can view the full projections for every game in Week 12, along with against the spread and over/under picks, by clicking here.
Sydney is an Atlanta-based journalist who has covered everything from SEC and ACC football to MLS, the U.S. men's national soccer team and professional tennis. His work has appeared on such platforms as SB Nation, Cox Media Group and FanSided.
