The SEC will take center stage this week with a pair of top-10 matchups that will almost certainly determine division winners.
How do analytics think those games will turn out?
S&P+, at least, projects that LSU and Kentucky will cover as big home underdogs but ultimately lose their high-stakes games against Alabama and Georgia, respectively. The analytics system measures a team’s efficiency and explosiveness while adjusting for opponents, and you can see how it views this week’s slate of games in Bill Connelly’s SB Nation post detailing spread picks.
Connelly applies S&P+ to every game involving an FBS team in Week 10, but we’ve pulled just the contests featuring SEC squads. Here’s how S&P+ sees the SEC’s Week 10 schedule playing out:
- No. 1 Alabama 34, No. 3 LSU (+14.5) 23
- No. 6 Georgia 29, No. 9 Kentucky (+9) 20 (Actual projection: Georgia 28.8, Kentucky 19.9)
- No. 11 Florida 32, Missouri (+6) 27
- No. 18 Mississippi State 34, Louisiana Tech (+23.5) 17
- Auburn (-4) 27, No. 20 Texas A&M 21
- Tennessee 35, Charlotte (+21) 22
- Ole Miss (+1) 36, South Carolina 32
Marcus covers SEC football for Saturday Down South.
