Super Bowl LX is here.
The game will pit the arguably NFL’s best offense (New England Patriots) against the league’s best defense (Seattle Seahawks) in a rematch of Super Bowl XLIX, which ended with a Russell Wilson interception on the goal line.
The Super Bowl is always one of the most popular events of the year for bettors. With plenty of options to evaluate from a variety of real money betting apps, let’s break down 3 plus-money prop bets for the 2026 Super Bowl.
Super Bowl 2026 prop bets
Let’s dive in:
Seattle Seahawks alt spread
Seattle is a 4.5-point favorite in this game at most sportsbooks. I think that’s under-selling this Seahawks team just a bit. Seattle has had a much tougher road in the playoffs than New England, and yet was very impressive in wins over the 49ers and Rams. The Seahawks have been the NFL’s best defense all season and have been even more dominant over the second half of the year, holding opponents to -0.171 EPA from Week 10-17. Offensively, Seattle is third in the NFL in drop-back success rate since Week 10. I think the Seahawks have enough firepower to win by a full touchdown, if not more.
Pick: Seahawks -6.5 alt spread (+110 on BetMGM)
DeMarcus Lawrence to record a sack
The Patriots have made the Super Bowl despite being exceptionally vulnerable on the left side of their offensive line. Per PFF, rookie left tackle Will Campbell has posted a pass blocking grade of just 39.8 across 3 playoff games. Rookie left guard Jared Wilson has struggled as well with a 60.9 mark in the postseason. Enter DeMarcus Lawrence, who has been Seattle’s most productive pass rusher this season. He has 9 pressures and 2 sacks during the postseason alone. Lawrence won’t always be going head-to-head with Campbell (he typically lines up on both the left and right throughout the game), but I think he’ll win that matchup often enough to record at least 1 sack.
Pick: Lawrence to record one sack (+119 on DraftKings)
Kenneth Walker to catch 4+ passes
The impact of Zach Charbonnet’s injury is pretty significant on this prop. Charbonnet has certainly been Seattle’s preferred running back on passing downs this season, but Walker has now assumed those duties in addition to his regular responsibilities. In the NFC Championship Game, Walker and George Holani split snaps on passing downs while Walker dominated rushing snaps. Seattle will have to change that up a bit or risk tipping run/pass plays based on personnel. Their options would be having Holani involved in more running plays early in the game or having Walker be a consistent presence on passing plays. I think either scenario is plausible and we could see a mix of both. This particular bet is relying on the latter being the case (although I also like Walker’s first-half under rushing total). I think Walker is a pretty good bet to be very involved as a pass catcher, particularly given New England’s high-pressure rate defensive style. I think Darnold will be looking for check-downs often enough that this prop should be +EV at the current market price.
Pick: Kenneth Walker 4+ receptions (+181 on BetMGM)
Spenser is a news editor for Saturday Down South and covers college football across all Saturday Football brands.
