Are Vegas oddsmakers giving away free money on SEC over/under stats?
Pull out your wallet because you’re about to win some free cash.
Bovada sportsbook has released 63 over/under prop bets that are ready for your consumption, and many of them seem too good to be true. There are plenty that include star players from all over the country, but it’s the SEC members that stand out the most as your best chance to come out on top at the end of the year (though we may be a little biased).
Here are the SEC props:
- Chad Kelly, QB, Ole Miss (27.5 passing touchdowns … 3,700.5 passing yards)
- Josh Dobbs, QB, Tennessee (18.5 passing touchdowns … 2,200.5 passing yards)
- Calvin Ridley, WR, Alabama (8.5 receiving touchdowns … 900.5 receiving yards)
- Christian Kirk, WR, Texas A&M (6.5 receiving touchdowns … 850.5 receiving yards)
- Leonard Fournette, RB, LSU (19.5 rushing touchdowns … 1,600.5 rushing yards)
- Nick Chubb, RB, Georgia (12.5 rushing touchdowns … 1,300.5 rushing yards)
*Must play in first game of season for action. Bowl games and conference championship games do not count towards wager.
What clearly stands out here is Ridley. As a true freshman, he recorded 89 receptions for 1,045 yards and seven touchdowns. He’ll have a new quarterback, sure, but another year learning Lane Kiffin’s system plus the departure of carry-machine Derrick Henry from the backfield can only help his chances of having a monstrous sophomore year. Meanwhile, it would be a “safe” assumption to declare that Joshua Dobbs will put up solid numbers in his final season as a Volunteer, and Leonard Fournette should be able to reach 1,600 yards in his sleep.
In addition to the individual props, Bovada has also included the opportunity to bet on whether certain teams will make the College Football Playoff.
Alabama
- Yes (+145)
- No (-190)
Auburn
- Yes (+1500)
- No (-3000)
Florida
- Yes (+1000)
- No (-2500)
Georgia
- Yes (+950)
- No (-2000)
LSU
- Yes (+300)
- No (-500)
Ole Miss
- Yes (+850)
- No (-1800)
Tennessee
- Yes (+325)
- No (-550)
Will an SEC team win the championship?
- Yes (+350)
- No (-290)
I would say over on the Kelly TD’s, over on the Dobbs passing yards, over on the Kirk rec. yards and under on the Chubb yards.
Odds makers set the betting line to get money flowing, Vegas was built by guys who thought lines like this were free money, and read the fine print before you push the button. Most who do will lose.
Consider me a dummy on betting but how does the betting lines work on the second half of getting to the playoffs?
I have no clue either, you’re not alone.
I think I’m right.
It’s the amount of money relative to $100. So, +1500 means that a bet of $100 that wins gets your $100 back plus $1500 whereas -3000 means if you bet $3,000 and win, you’d get your money back plus $100.
On the first part of put over on just about everything. They predicted most of the players to do worse than last year, how does that make sense? I mean, Chad Kelly should do slightly worse because the rest of his team will suck, but other than that it’s hard to see any of the others doing worse.
To start last year, Chubb would’ve looked like free money at 1300 yards. It just takes one injury or a couple bad games or too many big plays by other players to throw it out of whack. They all look like pretty solid bets right now, but that only stays as long as everything goes pretty right for them. Six props, I’d bet no more than 4 cover.