ESPN has once again updated its Football Power Index, “a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season.” One quirk of the FPI is that when projecting a team’s record, it gives partial numbers due to “differing number of games played in each simulation” (the FPI’s projected results are based on 20,000 simulations).

With that in mind, here are the final records the FPI is projecting for all 14 SEC teams:

  • Alabama: 10.9-1.7
  • Georgia: 10.2-2.4
  • Florida: 9.7-2.7
  • LSU: 9.6-2.6
  • Auburn: 9.1-3.0
  • Texas A&M: 8.9-3.2
  • Kentucky: 7.0-5.0
  • Tennessee: 6.3-5.7
  • Ole Miss: 6.1-5.9
  • Missouri: 6.0-6.0
  • South Carolina: 5.8-6.2
  • Arkansas: 5.0-7.0
  • Mississippi State: 4.6-7.4
  • Vanderbilt: 3.2-8.8

It’s worth noting that the FPI rankings are higher on LSU and Auburn than Florida, but the projected outcomes factor in the difficulty of schedule. This also explains why South Carolina’s FPI (39) is higher than Missouri’s (55), but the Gamecocks are projected to come up with fewer wins than the Tigers.

The complete FPI can be found here.