College football is just six days away, as Florida plays Miami on August 24.

How will the SEC East stack up this year? Well, Georgia is obviously the favorite, but can another team challenge the Dawgs in the East? At this point, there may be two. Florida, who’s coming off a 10-win first season under Dan Mullen, should give the Bulldogs a tough test. Missouri with Kelly Bryant at quarterback should make some noise in the East, too.

The team that could have the biggest setback in the division? ESPN’s Football Power Index predicts it will be Kentucky. The Cats won 10 games last year, and the FPI predicts just six this year. That would be a sizable step back.

ESPN’s Football Power Index breaks down every team in college football from a statistical standpoint before the start of the season. The FPI is described on its website as the following:

The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily.

Below is how the FPI predicts the final records for every SEC East team:

Florida Gators

Final Record Prediction: 8-4
Toughest game: at LSU (36.8 percent chance of beating LSU)

Georgia Bulldogs

Final Record Prediction: 10-2
Toughest game: at Auburn (54.7 percent chance of beating Auburn)

Kentucky Wildcats

Final Record Prediction: 6-6
Toughest game: at Georgia (9.3 percent chance of beating Georgia)

Missouri Tigers

Final Record Prediction: 8-4
Toughest game: at Georgia (18.8 percent chance of beating Georgia)

South Carolina Gamecocks

Final Record Prediction: 6-6
Toughest game: vs. Clemson (14.9 percent chance of beating Clemson)

Tennessee Volunteers

Final Record Prediction: 8-4
Toughest game: at Alabama (11.6 percent chance of beating Alabama)

Vanderbilt Commodores

Final Record Prediction: 5-7
Toughest game: at Florida (11.5 percent chance of beating Florida)