ESPN's FPI predicts outcome of every SEC Week 3 game
Seven SEC teams enter Week 3 of the conference season ranked in the latest Associated Press Top 25 poll. On Saturday, we’ll get two ranked-against-ranked games.
No. 4 Florida travels to College Station for the first time since 2012 to face No. 21 Texas A&M in a game set for a noon ET kickoff on ESPN. No. 3 Georgia hosts No. 14 Tennessee in a battle of undefeated teams for the CBS 3:30 p.m. ET SEC showcase game.
No. 2 Alabama and No. 17 LSU will be on the road taking on unranked opponents while No. 13 Auburn will look to bounce back at home.
ESPN uses its Football Power Index to predict the outcome of every game. Here’s how ESPN describes the FPI:
The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily. FPI data from seasons prior to 2019 may not be complete.
Here are ESPN’s win probabilities for each Week 3 game:
- Florida (70.5 percent chance to win) at Texas A&M
- LSU (87.8 percent) vs. Missouri
- South Carolina (79.7 percent) at Vanderbilt
- Georgia (88.4 percent) vs. Tennessee
- Auburn (89.1 percent) vs. Arkansas
- Alabama (92.5 percent) at Ole Miss
- Kentucky (64.8 percent) vs. Mississippi State