ESPN's FPI predicts outcome of every SEC Week 5 game
Week 5 of the SEC season features even more teams on bye weeks and the calendar won’t play nice with the “SEC on CBS” showcase game.
After schedule shuffling to Florida’s COVID-19 outbreak, six SEC teams are off this Saturday, leaving four conference clashes. CBS will have the “Third Saturday in October” (though it’s actually Saturday No. 4 this month) clash between Alabama and Tennessee. The intrigue of this game has lessened significantly over with UT’s struggles over the last six quarters.
The SEC Network will have Auburn-Ole Miss at noon Eastern and Kentucky-Mizzou. South Carolina at LSU gets the ESPN primetime treatment at 7 p.m. ET.
Here’s how ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) projects the outcome of each of Saturday’s 4 SEC matchups:
- Auburn (74.7 percent chance to win) at Ole Miss
- Alabama (92.4 percent) vs. Tennessee
- Kentucky (60.5 percent) at Missouri
- LSU (71.8 percent) vs. South Carolina
Here is ESPN’s definition of the Football Power Index:
The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily. FPI data from seasons prior to 2019 may not be complete.