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ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) predicts the outcome of each college football game before each weekend. With 9 weeks already behind us, the predictions for Week 10 have now been released.
Included in the Week 10 predictions is the Ole Miss-Arkansas matchup. The model sees Ole Miss as a big favorite, giving the Rebels a 74.1% chance to win conference battle. This means ESPN Analytics is giving the Razorbacks just over a 25% chance to pull off the upset at home.
Entering this game, the Rebels have a 6-2 overall record with a 2-2 mark in SEC play. In conference play, the Rebels have lost to Kentucky and LSU while beating South Carolina and Oklahoma.
The Razorbacks, meanwhile, are 5-3 overall and 3-2 in SEC play. The Razorbacks have conference wins over Tennessee, Auburn, and Mississippi State, with losses to LSU and Texas A&M.
In Week 9, the Rebels took down Oklahoma while the Razorbacks easily dispatched Mississippi State. Now, these teams prepare to do battle for the 70th time in history.
All-time, the Razorbacks have 38 wins, the Rebels have 30, and the teams have tied once. Ole Miss won last year’s game 27-20 in Oxford, but the Razorbacks haven’t lost this matchup in Fayetteville since 2018.
Entering the season, the Rebels had College Football Playoff hopes. However, with 2 losses already, a loss at Arkansas in Week 10 kills those hopes, if they’re not dead already. The Razorbacks, meanwhile, would secure bowl eligibility with a win.
After Week 10, the Rebels still have a tough game with Georgia, while the Razorbacks still play Texas and Missouri.
Bryce Lazenby covers college football for Saturday Down South. A Nashville native, his previous stops include FanSided, Dimers, and The Leaf-Chronicle.
