It will be another season of the Alabama Crimson Tide and Georgia Bulldogs at the top of the college football polls. That is, if you believe in ESPN’s SP+ model.

If you’re not a mathematician (and neither am I), SP+ can be a tad bit confusing. In terms of the preseason, it rates and adjusts for a team’s returning talent, recent recruiting, and recent history of performing well, or the opposite. According to Bill Connelly of ESPN, SP+ is also “a tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency. It is a predictive measure of the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football, not a résumé ranking.”

We’ll leave the numbers for those who enjoyed math class, but for the layman college football fan, this is a pretty accurate prediction as to how the top teams in the country stack up heading into the 2022 season.

With all that as context, Connely recently released some data regarding the Power 5 schools and which among them have the best chance to win 11 games or more.

Perhaps not surprisingly, there are also not a ton of surprises — especially as far as the SEC is concerned.

It is worth pointing out that UGA has a better shot at 11-plus wins than Alabama, which could be a product of Georgia’s recent national championship victory over the Crimson Tide. Or, perhaps Kirby Smart has finally turned the tide (pun intended) on his old mentor.