FanDuel Sportsbook releases updated 2019 win totals for each SEC squad
The 2019 season is only a couple of months away, so it’s time for sportsbooks to update their win totals for teams across the country as summer practices draw near.
On Tuesday, the FanDuel Sportsbook released its updated win totals, including those for all 14 SEC teams.
As you can see below, Alabama and Georgia lead the way with the number set at 11, and Vanderbilt and Ole Miss are at the bottom with an over/under of five wins:
Updated SEC win totals via @FDSportsbook
Alabama 11
Georgia 11
Florida 9
LSU 9
Mississippi State 8.5
Auburn 8
Texas A&M 7.5
Tennessee 6.5
Missouri 6.5
Kentucky 6
South Carolina 6
Arkansas 6
Vanderbilt 5
Ole Miss 5— SEC Mike (@MichaelWBratton) June 25, 2019
Things are sure to change during the summer practice session for some of these teams, but this is a good look at how things stand right now.
Who will exceed their win totals and who will fall short? We’ll start to find out in August.
I would like to know who are the three teams LSU is supposed to lose to.
Who do you see them losing to? It’s hard to tell but I can see Alabama, Texas, UF, and A&M having a shot at getting a W against LSU this year. Really the only guaranteed loss I would have penciled in is Alabama, but please prove me wrong!
I’m hopeful LSU can go 10-2 or 11-1, but we could lose to any of the teams you mentioned, or we could just get surprised by someone else. Eventually, Auburn is going to finally get one in Baton Rouge, but I hope it isn’t this season.
I’m convinced we won’t win there again in my lifetime.. lol
The cigar episode did not make me happy, but I have loved what has happened since. Good times.
Florida will not win in BR.
We know UGA didn’t…
I think both USC and Mizzou will both have at least 7 and possibly 8 wins each.
I’d take the over on Carolina for sure. Without having their exact schedule in front of me, I’d take Vandy and A&M on the over too.
Where do you see seven “for sure” wins on SC’s schedule?
Nothing is guaranteed but here you go: 7 wins is highly attainable barring mass injuries, TN, Vandy, Mizz, NC, Charleston Southern, and App St should be all wins, KY and FL are toss ups, and there is no reason to believe that SC couldn’t upset a A&M or even Clemson.
Exactly. Honestly, (could be a homer here) I think that Carolina should be the favorite at home vs. Florida. And Kentucky is a game that should be in the “easy win” category, but steaks can be hard to break.
Billy if you remove the black and garnet sunglasses there is no way you can legitimately say TN and Mizzou “should be” wins. They could be but at best they are toss-ups, along with florida and Kentucky. SC probably has 4 “should be wins” on the schedule.
Fuzz quit drinking the orange Kool Aid. SC is 5-2 vs Mizz in SEC play, winning the last three in a row including last year with a back up QB, vs Lock almighty. The Vols have never beaten a Muschamp coached team yet, and this year we return more talent and production from an injury plagued season. TN is in store for a rough season if they haven’t improved any in the off season, their production last year closing out the season dropped tremendously and they have to replace key defensive players like Kirkland, Sapp, etc.
I agree with Fuzzy. UT and Mizz should be toss ups. I thought UT was a sure fire win for us last year and we all know how that worked out.
@beachbum I get that the Vols beat you guys but they didn’t finish good at all and Mizz finished below SC in the SEC last year. All signs show SC should be better this year, what do you see in TN and Mizz that shows that they are substantially improved as well?
Why do Tennessee and Mizzou have to be “substantially better” to beat you guys this year? It’s not as if y’all throttled either team. Five points combined was the total margin of victory. Doesn’t seem to me that a substantial improvement is needed to close such a relatively small gap. Trying to use the past to determine the future seems futile. A Saban coached Alabama team had never lost by four touchdowns but that changed on a cold, dark night in January. So there’s no reason Tennessee can’t beat a Muschamp coached team. That’s an argument void of logic. That’s not too say I believe that will happen but both of those games are more “toss up” than “should wins”.
@Cody my argument is that SC is substantially better than the SC team that beat Mizz and TN last year. History does play a part when you are talking about recent history considering that we are returning several of those players that beat those returning players at TN and Mizz for the last 3 years. Again SC barring injury, has more production coming back this year. Your only argument is that Mizz and TN only lost by a few points so it should be a toss up, that lacks logic without stating how Mizz and TN are substantially better considering that SC is substantially improved from last year.
For the record, I’m not saying one way or another, but every advanced metric has Mizzou as anywhere from a 4 to 7 point home favorite against South Carolina. It will be a bit surprising (and probably indicative of a worse than expected start for Missouri) if the Tigers aren’t at least a slight Vegas favorite in that game. I know what the streak is, and it’s on us to break it, but that’s no easy win, sorry.
@Ol Mizz I get the preseason metrics, and yes Mizz unlike TN finished strong. The one thing that most metrics fail to account for are production or lack there of from injuries. Just remember metrics had us as second in the SEC competing with GA this time last year, and we see how the metrics worked out then. As far as the point spread it is too early to call a point spread for Mizz/SC nor am I basing my prediction on point spreads but straight up victories. Honestly I’m high on Dooley as OC but he is challenged with bringing in a new QB, that by all means is unproven against an SEC schedule and is a total different type of QB than Lock. SC is bringing back a better team than last year, our secondary is improved, out DL rotation is deep, on the other side of the ball SC is improved as well with upgrades on the o line and receiver position.
I’d bet $100 they don’t get to seven.
@oskie I’d bet $100 they do lol
“Highly attainable” seems a far cry from “for sure.” Toss-up games are by definition attainable. The question is, do you think you win them all. I think SC finally gets KY this year. If they can’t beat the Cats this year they may never beat them again. No one should just put the TN game in the win for SC. SC visits Knoxville on the heels of playing UGA and Florida. I also think Missouri will be better than people think. There is no reason to believe SC will beat the big three.
@go you are arguing semantics, nothing is guaranteed but you asked for the “for sure” wins. The 6 games I have as highly attainable should be wins barring injury. Again the 2 toss ups are KY and FL, and the two games that could be upsets, are A&M and Clemson. I don’t think SC beats GA or Bama. I think SC wins the 6 they should and one of the toss up’s. As far as the TN game, if we come out of GA and FL reasonably injury free, as I have listed above SC should win because they return more production and carry over more experienced talent than TN. Mizz May be improved in some areas but they are replacing Drew Lock with Kelly Bryant, two completely different QB’s, and like the TN SC is returning more experience talent.
It’s too early to know a line, for sure, but I’m basing my guess on preseason FPI projections. Generally, they’re high on both SC and Mizzou, with Mizzou just a touch higher.
I think both programs win more than 7 games in 2019.
From Fan Duel:
South Carolina (under 6)
Likely wins: Charleston Southern, Vanderbilt
Likely losses: Alabama, at Georgia, Florida, at Texas A&M, Clemson
Toss-ups: North Carolina, at Missouri, Kentucky, at Tennessee, Appalachian State
That take from Fan Duel is just… gross.
@ole Mizz and @Beachbum toss same preseason sites and numbers had us finishing second in the east some had us beating GA and winning the East, so I don’t put much stock in preseason rankings. My argument is based on returning talent and production and last year’s results among other things.
*the same
And last preseason
@bill every site I’ve read has SC going 6-6.
I understand being optimistic, but other teams also return a ton of talent next season. One of them is Missouri.
It’s pretty fair to think the two teams might both be better, but about the same relatively to each other. And while we lost that game last year fair and square, I don’t think even the most ardent SC fan would say that game couldn’t have really easily gone the other way. Just because we could handle a monsoon last year shouldn’t be considered a great predictor of this years game.
*couldn’t
The monsoon actually played in Mizzs favor since Mizzs run game was stronger and they benefited from the rain, not to mention we started a guy at QB that never started before, plus other injuries, honestly those factors are the only reasons it was close last year. Please see ImissSECcountry’s assessment below it very spot on what we return. I’m not saying Mizz won’t improve, I just don’t see where they improve more than a healthy SC. A lot of Mizzs season depends on Bryant who could be as good as he was when recruited by Clemson, or he could be the guy that couldn’t get the job done with one of the best Defense’s ever, and tons of talent around him on Offense.
I watched that game.
The monsoon didn’t play in Mizzou’s favor. At all.
It’s our own fault that we couldn’t play through it and SC could, but I mean, we had a sizeable lead when it started, couldn’t hold onto the ball, and were down when it ended, so you can’t really say it benefited us. We were lost out there.
Agree to disagree, I was there, SC was back in the game after making adjustments at halftime. Then the rains came in the 3rd quarter. Mizz moved the ball at will on the ground, they just couldn’t pass in the red zone. I’m not even sure I remember a passing TD by Lock, maybe one, don’t remember off hand, almost all the scores from Mizz came from the ground. Mizz never had a sizable lead I believe at halftime you guys had a 9 point lead. Roundtree and Crockett ran at will in the rain they both had over and close to a hundred yard games in the rain. I’m not sure we had 50 yards on the ground lol
Fair enough. It was our team that forgot how to play football in the because it was raining, which is not ideal, and is sometimes part of it.
Somebody please re-print this story the day after the regular season ends
They know they’re gonna get a ton of action from Floriduh ‘turds on the over, but give me the under. With that terrible offensive line and the lack of blue chip depth throughout the team, that’s an 8-win team this season.
I’ll take the “terrible” OL and supposedly lack of blue chip depth over having no WRs and no back up QB
Ok, that settles is, we are both satisfied with what we have.
*it
If I didn’t know for a fact it would be bad luck, I’d be awfully tempted to put some real money on Mizzou over 6.5. I thought the line would be 7.5 or 8.5.
To hit the under, basically either Kelly Bryant gets hurt or just totally fails to pick up the Mizzou offense.
Bad luck isn’t factual.
I’m literally a statistician, man.
I am still allowed to use not-completely-literal wording on an internet sports blog.
I literally don’t care. You placing a bet has absolutely nothing to do with the outcome of any game. That’s a fact.
Do you actually think there is even a small chance I don’t know that?
I would hope not, but you are the one that said it.
Figurative language: like when one says “we’re cursed!” after a tough loss. Not referring to a literal curse there, usually.
I’m so old I saw my Leghumpers last national championship, but more to the point I made a ton of money betting against the White Sox in 19’. Tulane bet paid off as well in 85’. Maybe a bet has a lot to do with a game…follow the money
Come on Billy you think SC improved dramatically from last season. Maybe they did improve but so did UT. I think our improvement will be much more substantial than SC. SC did not have as high a ceiling to improve to from last year. The logic that you beat us in recent history really has little to no bearing on this season. Muschamp has our number but that will never last.
Fuzzy How did TN improve substantially from last year? Where is that substantial improvement? What are you basing your opinion on, criteria wise?
When you really start breaking down SC’s roster, position by position, the difference over last year is substantial. Our only detractor is the loss of Debo Samuel. And production wise, I Debo will be replaced w/o breaking a sweat. What we may miss is his constant scoring threat keeping defenses honest. Anyway, here’s a look at our roster in comparison with last year.
QB – Better. Not alot to say other than we got a new hotshot backup in Hilinski. Otherwise this position is the same.
RB – Better. Could be lightyears better with the addition of Feaster. (Its a 50/50 race between VT and SC rn, with most pundits giving a slight edge to SC) But even without Feaster, we have some Freshman and Rs. Freshman who could break into the rotation and provide a spark for this unit. If all this unit does is stay healthy, it will be an improvement over last year.
O-Line – Better. Both depth and talent continue to build at this position. The biggest reason for optimism this year is that the line has been reshuffled and most our starters are playing at their natural positions. This will probably be the first year that Carolina has an SEC grade O-line under Muschamp.
WR/TE – The Same. Edwards, Shi Smith, Orte Smith, Vann, Davis, and even Urich will make a mean unit at WR. SC will lose no scoring ability from last year. TE remains the same. (We have a transfer coming in who could be really good, but he could also suck. Kind of a questionable take by the Staff imho) Overall, this will still be a very strong unit.
Secondary – Better. With Horn and Mukuamu anchoring the CB spots, the unit will be rock solid. At safety, we have a mix of veterans and young talent that will vie for a spot in the rotation. And as a firm believer in iron sharpening iron, I think that the safety unit will come out strong this year.
D-Line – Much Better. This will by far be the best D-Line unit Coach Boom has had at SC. The depth is excellent. A few of the headliners are: Javon Kinlaw, excellent run stopper, has the physical attributes to be a first rounder. DJ Wonum, who is by consensus one of the best DE’s in the SEC. Has elite motor and a nose for finding sacks. And of course, the wonder-kid, Pickens. I can’t wait to see this line with Wonum on one side and Pickens on the other. That will be nasty.
LB – Better or the Same. This really all depends on player development. Can the young guys learn the system? Can the veterans stop making stupid mistakes? If this unit CAN figure it out, I think that this defense will be one of the best in the SEC. If not, then we will have similar LB production to last year, meaning poor TJ Brunson will be having to cover three positions from MLB. But again, if we can find guys to put around Brunson, then this unit will be fine.
Overall, we are at a point where the recruiting and development are starting to pay dividends. This team will be better than our healthy 2018 squad. But, if you take into account last years injuries, this this won’t just be better, it will be leaps and bounds better. So with all that said, what does Tennessee’s roster look like?
Spot on assessment @imiss
I think Ole Miss gets bowl eligible with at least 6 Wins. Having competent coordinators should at least get us to the 6 win mark.
No one is commenting on the 8.5 pick for MSU. Probably because no one knows what the hell to expect from this mystery team. They could be surprisingly good or disappointingly bad. We don’t even know who will start at QB, or if JoMo is the the offensive genius he seemed to be at PSU or out of his depth in the SEC.
What do you the State will do? Lost a lot of talent on D and a murky QB situation has me leaning to the under.
Think*
I’ll take the Cocks over 6 wins, but considering the last two times they took the field they looked like they would rather be at a Wild Wings somewhere watching TV, its hardly a lock. I can’t fathom UM UT and UK as “probable wins”. These are toss ups IMO that could go either way. I think we will be “favored to lose” to UF and A&M. Clemson, Bama and UGA would be shock the world type upsets. Not much margin for error to even get to 7 wins.