FiveThirtyEight updates CFP predictions through Week 6 results
There was little change through Week 6 in Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight predictions for the College Football Playoff.
The top several teams remained the same as they’ve been for several weeks. Through Week 6, the top teams are Clemson, Ohio State, Alabama and Oklahoma, while Georgia and LSU round out the top six.
The top four teams all have at least a 45 percent chance of making the Playoff, while Georgia is next at 35 percent, and LSU at 24 percent. Clemson at 75 percent, and Ohio State at 53 percent have the best chances to make the group of four teams to play for the championship trophy.
The rest of the top 10 is Wisconsin at No. 7, Penn State, Florida and Notre Dame. Auburn dropped from No. 7 to No. 13 following the loss at Florida.
Chances to win the national championship also remain the same, as Clemson has a 19 percent chance, Ohio State and Alabama both at 18 percent, and Oklahoma at 9 percent. Georgia has a 10 percent chance, while LSU is at 7 percent.
Alabama’s chances to win the SEC are at 39 percent, which is up 3 percent from a week ago. Georgia stands at 27 percent, which is up 1 percent from last week. LSU is at 15 percent to win the SEC, up 1 percent from last week, and Auburn is at 5 percent, down 7 percent from last week.