Florida-LSU is shaping up to be one of college football’s most intriguing games of Week 6. LSU is coming off a big win, 45-16 over Ole Miss while Florida managed to knock off Mississippi State 13-6 in Starkville.
With LSU now 5-0 (so much for Ed Orgeron’s seat warming up…) and Florida (4-1, 2-1 SEC) notching back-to-back SEC road wins, the Tigers and Gators will both enter Saturday’s showdown ranked in the Associated Press Top 25 (LSU No. 5, Florida No. 22).
While the Bayou Bengals have poll superiority, other numbers are suggesting the game could be a close one in The Swamp. Sunday’s offshore betting lines have LSU favored at 2.5 points. The difference in the latest S&P+ projections suggest that LSU is only 0.6 points (15.5 to 14.9) better than Florida on a neutral field.
ESPN’s Football Power Index is taking it a step further. The World Wide Leader’s preferred metric, defined as “measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season,” is now projecting Florida to beat LSU.
Though the FPI ranks LSU No. 11 and Florida No. 13, it is currently giving the Gators a 58.4 chance of beating the Tigers. We’ll find out Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET on CBS.