O'Gara: The biggest SEC takeaways from Week 12
And then there were 2.
Texas and Texas A&M are the last 2 SEC teams with just 1 conference loss after Tennessee fell at Georgia. Of course, the 2 Texas schools will face off in 2 weeks to close the regular season. That means, at most, we’ll have just 1 SEC team that avoids multiple conference losses.
Parity? Yes and no.
Parity would’ve meant that Saturday yielded multiple upsets in a further muddied SEC. Florida was the only SEC team that delivered that. Georgia rallied against Tennessee while Texas fended off Arkansas’ upset bid.
It’s not a total free-for-all in the SEC. There’s just potentially going to be a cluster of 10-2 teams that the Playoff selection committee has to sort through.
I’m sure everyone will agree on what that should look like. Obviously.
Here are the biggest takeaways from Saturday in the SEC:
Georgia still has that dawg in them
Sorry. Had to.
Georgia was out of mulligans, down 10-0 against the No. 7 team in America. A loss to Tennessee would’ve ended UGA’s SEC Championship hopes and likely its Playoff hopes. It would’ve been a season-ender for the preseason No. 1 team in America.
But finally, Georgia responded with its back against the wall.
Carson Beck seemingly got rolling after he broke 3 tackles on a scramble to pick up a first down, UGA’s offensive line protected Beck significantly better than it did compared to last week at Ole Miss and Georgia’s defense put the clamps on Dylan Sampson in the second half.
It served as a reminder that UGA still has toughness, even as the injuries mount. Dillon Bell left the game and Trevor Etienne was ruled out with a week-to-week injury, yet the Georgia pass-catchers stepped up and delivered their best performance of the year. Six Georgia players had a catch of at least 20 yards, 3 of which were tight ends.
That was the Georgia offense that many expected to be on display in 2024. Maybe it took getting to that “backs against the wall” place, but 3 punts to start the game didn’t suggest that UGA showed up with the sense of urgency it needed against a hard-nosed Tennessee defense, who hadn’t allowed 20 points in a game in nearly a year.
UGA closed SEC play with 6-2, and if it can avoid a loss against a pesky Georgia Tech team in a couple of weeks, it’ll close the regular season at 10-2. Would that include a Playoff berth? That feels likely. Would that include an SEC Championship berth? That’s a bit more complicated.
But Saturday was Georgia’s most complete game of the season. It couldn’t have come at a better time.
It’s now out of Tennessee’s hands
Everything was Tennessee’s hands entering the night. An SEC Championship path, an automatic bid into the Playoff and a first-round bye … it was all there. Shoot, it was there after a 10-0 start in which Tennessee looked like the better team out of the gate. Seven consecutive losses against Georgia could’ve been a thing of the past.
Instead, UGA went on a 31-7 run and brought Tennessee back into an all-too-familiar territory. That is, without a likely path to Atlanta and wondering what’s next.
The good news for the Vols is that if they can get to 10-2, they’ll have the head-to-head against Alabama. The bad news is that even if they get to 10-2, they’ll likely only have 1 win against a CFP Top 25 team. Their résumé won’t stack up well next to Georgia’s and without anything more than a handful of common opponents vs. Ole Miss, it’s hard to say that the selection committee will definitively favor the Vols.
That’s 4 SEC teams before we include Texas and Texas A&M, both of whom are sitting there with just 1 conference loss and a path to get to 10 wins themselves, though that head-to-head matchup to close the regular season will give one of those teams another loss.
That’s the daunting part.
Tennessee now has to hope that the selection committee will value its résumé. Kirby Smart admitted afterward that he doesn’t know anymore what the selection committee values, which might’ve been about his team falling 9 spots after the Ole Miss loss.
Whatever the case, a long few weeks are on deck for the Tennessee faithful.
Billy Napier just got the best win of his tenure
Yeah, it was bigger than a nonconference game in September. And yeah, it was bigger than a September game against Tennessee. Speaking of beating Tennessee in September, Saturday marked Florida’s first win vs. an AP Top 25 team since … Sept. 2023 vs. No. 11 Tennessee.
Even more important than that or ending the LSU losing streak was that Billy Napier gave his team a significantly better chance of playing in the postseason. Now, Florida just needs to get past either Ole Miss or 1-win Florida State to make that happen. That matters for a group that’s loaded with underclassmen, most notably a certain DJ Lagway, who looked the part in his return from a hamstring injury.
Quite simply, Saturday was the proof of concept for the Napier era. That was his developed quarterback running his offense and beating one of the most respected coaches in the sport. On top of that, Napier’s out-of-the-box hire of Ron Roberts to be the defensive play-caller with Austin Armstrong paid dividends and sacked Garrett Nussmeier 7 times after LSU had only allowed 6 sacks all year.
Florida, even with a depleted roster, played the type of game that Napier promised when he got the job. Will that be the building block victory ahead of a pivotal offseason? That remains to be seen.
For at least a day, that felt possible.
Brian Kelly just got the worst loss of his tenure
Before I start, let’s say this. LSU has more than 60 million reasons not to fire a coach who led the program to consecutive 10-win seasons in his first 2 years on the job. Like, a job that had 39 scholarship players in a bowl game when he showed up.
But yikes. That was rough.
It wasn’t just that LSU lost to Florida for the first time since 2018. It was that the strength of Kelly — the offensive line — was completely overmatched against a defense that hadn’t exactly been a world-beater. LSU allowed 7 sacks after it allowed 6 in the first 9 games of the season.
That’s the second consecutive game in which LSU only reached the end zone once. That’s not something you can pin on the defense.
Brian Kelly is the 4th LSU head coach to lose at least 3 straight games within a season since 1999.
The previous 3 were all let go within 12 months of the streak:
2021 Ed Orgeron (fired in-season)
2015 Les Miles (fired early 2016)
1999 Gerry DiNardo (fired in-season)— Jason Starrett (@starrettjason) November 17, 2024
By the way, this is the first time since 2016 that Kelly won’t hit 10 wins in a season. That means the longest active streak of 10-win seasons will come to an end.
That’s not ideal. Also not ideal is the fact that Garrett Nussmeier looks like he’s regressing instead of rounding into form in his first season as a starter. That’s a troubling thought knowing that LSU still has capable veteran defenses waiting in Vandy and Oklahoma.
Rock bottom for the Kelly era was Saturday. At least that’s what it felt like. Dare I say, LSU might have even further to go.
Let’s forget the Playoff discussion and just appreciate what Shane Beamer’s best team is doing
I know, I know. The offense was held in check for the vast majority of the second half and the Gamecocks finally ran into a rushing attack that could neutralize that elite defensive line. Allowing Mizzou to nearly pull off that comeback — via a highlight-reel grab on 4th down by Luther Burden III — would’ve been a devastating way to lose a 6th consecutive game to the Tigers.
And then it wasn’t.
South Carolina would’ve watched Burden score and lost that game in the previous 3 years of the Beamer era. Not this team. Not this developed version of LaNorris Sellers and this healthy version of Rocket Sanders, who wasn’t going to be stopped by the ’85 Bears on that go-ahead score.
The way that South Carolina responded to that Ole Miss loss has been easily the best stretch of football it played in the post-Steve Spurrier era (AP rankings):
- L, 27-25 at No. 7 Alabama
- W, 35-9 at Oklahoma
- W, 44-20 vs. No. 10 Texas A&M
- W, 28-7 at No. 24 Vanderbilt
- W, 34-30 vs. No. 24 Mizzou
That’s 3 consecutive games vs. ranked teams and 3 consecutive victories. That’s the first time in program history that South Carolina did that. Saturday marked the first time since Sept. 13, 2014 that South Carolina won a matchup of AP Top 25 teams. Yeah. A decade. Ending that drought while beating Mizzou for the first time since 2018 was significant.
South Carolina is scary. It’s scary that the Gamecocks won without the defensive line taking over. If anything, that group was an Achilles’ heel for a decent chunk of the day with its 4 tackles for loss with just 2 sacks, though future All-American Kyle Kennard delivered the dagger sack late.
Let’s just acknowledge that 2 things can be true with South Carolina. Losing 3 games with 1 of them coming via a blowout will prevent the Gamecocks from making the 12-team Playoff, especially with Mizzou likely falling out of the Top 25 (Clemson also could fall out if South Carolina beat them). But there might not be 10 scarier teams to face in America than the one in Columbia.
A 10-win season doesn’t feel crazy at all for Shane Beamer’s squad.
It was a loss, but Brady Cook’s toughness can’t go unnoticed
When Cook uncorked that go-ahead touchdown to Luther Burden III, I thought Cook was about to get the win that had escaped him all year. Then, of course, Mizzou’s defense picked the worst possible time to turtle and South Carolina spoiled the best throw and catch of the Tigers’ rocky season in the spotlight.
But man, Cook showed a ton of toughness in those circumstances. In a hostile atmosphere against one of the best defensive lines in America, a less-than-100-percent Cook left it all out there. He led Mizzou back from a 21-6 deficit and only took 2 sacks against a Gamecocks defense that ranked No. 3 in FBS in that department.
With all due respect to Drew Pyne, who led Mizzou in a wild game late last week against Oklahoma, but he wouldn’t have been able to do the things that a limited Cook did. Even as loss No. 3 hits and all but ends even Eli Drinkwitz’s wildest Playoff hopes, Cook not giving up on the season should mean a ton to a program that elevated its ceiling the last 2 years.
Texas isn’t one for style points, which might be just fine
Here’s what I mean by that.
Texas is No. 3 in the Playoff poll even though it doesn’t have a win against the current Playoff Top 25. Those are contradicting statements to many. All that matters is what the selection committee says about Texas. Ergo, being held to 20 points against a porous Arkansas pass defense won’t be held against the Longhorns’ résumé.
We can question what that means for Texas’ national championship upside, but whatever “style points” that it might lack with an offense that hasn’t fully clicked this year it made up for defensively. Holding Arkansas to 231 yards of offense in Fayetteville was impressive. Jahdae Barron and Alfred Collins did the heavy lifting for a group that continues to be among the most consistent in the sport. Both forced key turnovers and helped Texas fend off Arkansas’ upset bid.
That was all that mattered on Saturday. Based on what the selection committee has done with Texas so far, getting to win No. 10 might be enough to secure an at-large berth. Of course, beating Texas A&M in College Station and earning a trip to the SEC Championship would be a much more satisfying way for Texas in its first season in the SEC.
To be determined on checking those boxes in a couple weeks. Checking Saturday’s box — beat a team who already had a win against a top-4 team — was priority No. 1.
All I heard from my compadres on the G8r side after the WLOCP was how different that game would have been if Lagway didn’t miss the 2nd half. At the time I certainly thought there might be a hint of merit in that “what if”, even if my response was no one adjusts better after the half on the defensive side of the ball than Kirby, so here’s the question G8r fans: after watching the pups dismantle Heupel’s gimmicky offense (again) and shut down a QB with equal talent to DJ, what makes you think a 2 for 6 DJ would have had a better second half?
DJ is in a different league than Nico. No matter what we speculate UGA was in trouble with a hot DJ playing a full game.
That was my thought too. Comparing Nico after essentially 2 seasons (1 riding the pine and the second being the full time starter) to what DJ has done as a true freshman playing through injury…I mean how could you come away feeling that DJ wouldn’t have delivered at last another explosive play or two. Maybe even score on the drive when he got hurt and suddenly it’s 17-3 heading to halftime. Hypotheticals are pointless though.
69 for 118 1,297yds 58.5 comp% 7 TDs 5 Ints Longest play 85 yds
164 for 254 2,046 yds 64.6 comp% 11 TDS 4 ints longest play 73 yds
But yet, the QB with the 2nd line of stats doesn’t hold a candle to the QB with the 1st line of stats.
Sure, let’s go with that…
Look what DJ did this Saturday, Leghumper, not being able to run and this being his 4th start ever. He led the team to 3 touchdowns and 2 field goals. This kid has intangibles that you can’t tell by stats. His completion percentage wasn’t as good as Nuss, but his yards per pass were greater and he had more explosive plays. Seeing as the Gators were able to tie the game against Georgia playing a 3rd string walk-on QB for 2 quarters, only to lose because of said QB’s interception and poor throwing ability, yes, I do believe Lagway could have gotten a win against Georgia. He can get the offense to score a touchdown in a heartbeat. We’ll never know what could have been, but in my opinion Lagway would have pulled off the win.
It wasn’t UGa’s defense, and it wasn’t Kirby making the adjustment Saturday in the Swamp, that’s the point. Not dissing on DJ, but Kirby has shut down the passing game of every QB he has faced this year in the second half. It is what it is.
Warner played well against that Georgia D despite no experience until the interception, just saying.
Yo humperino
Nico aint no DJ
Not even close
No gimmicky offense only deadly downfield passing accuracy so yeah he had a lead in your game despite being only 2 for 6 at that point in time so consider yourself fortunate
Pfffff
Same to you
How about Milroe or Ewers? Are they close to DJ? They both had pretty rough 2nd halves against Kirby’s adjustments as well. How about Jackson Dart? He was a solid 4 for 8 for 68 yds in the second half and didn’t complete a single pass after the first drive of the 3rd quarter.
What you fail get through that thick head is that you are comparing a true freshman with a scant 3 starts to in the case of Nico a redshirt frosh with about 9 starts and two veterans with several years worth of starts which is an even bigger asinine comparison but go ahead and you do you
On top of what Real C said, the Georgia offense and defense didn’t play like they did against Texas and the second half of Alabama when they played against the Gators. The defense allowed an offense led by a QB with no experience whatsoever to tie the game in the middle of the 4th quarter. They eventually got an interception from him, which sealed the win. Compare that to Lagway’s performance in the second half of the games that he started, as well as making some amazing plays against Tennessee to take the game into overtime. And remember that the Tennessee game was the first one where he got significant reps against a good defense after Mertz got injured, I don’t count Samford.
Oh my thick head most definitely gets it, unlike your thin skinned one, palley. Let me help you out…Kirby adjusted and 3 veterans with years of starts and 1 redshirt with 9 starts were shut down, but you delusional fans want to believe that DJ probably would have faired better against Kirby in the second half had he not gotten injured, does that about sum it up, thickly speaking?
Warner passed for quite a few yards in the 4th quarter, from an inexperienced walk on QB. The Georgia defense wasn’t playing like they typically do in that game, so I do believe that Lagway could have pulled off a win.
Like UGA was at full strength. These arguments are rediculous.
JTF, Leghumper started this thread, us Gator fans are responding with our opinion. Injury to a QB who is already the 2nd string and having to put in a 3rd string walk on QB with no experience whatsoever is different than injuries to other players. Plus the Gators already had a lot of starters out. Are you saying that if Beck got injured in the second quarter against the Gators, or pretty much any team that Georgia has played, that that wouldn’t affect the outcome of the game? Unfortunately we’ll never know what could have been but I believe the Gators could have pulled off the win against Georgia with Lagway playing the whole game, just like you believe that that wouldn’t have happened. I have to say, though, that the 3rd string walk on held his own for the most part until the interception with 4 minutes left in the game.
3rd string held his own? As a rival I endorse this message. I’ll take 7 for 22 for 66 yds. every game against us.
JT isn’t a what if kinda guy like us, gfa. That’s ok, our world needs more realists out there now that I retired…
Having that opinion is just fine GFA. I’m actually just responding with my opinion as well. Hope that’s OK. Neither much matter.
Humperino likes to start sheet and then pretend he’s just responding to the comments very devious
In light of the devious pretending I must admit, none of you have still answered the original question, what makes you think a 2 for 6 DJ would have had a better second half against the best defense adjusting HBC in the country? If football were 30 minutes we’d be like UF, fighting for bowl eligibility. 2nd half adjustments win games.
Because the Georgia defense didn’t adjust well in the Gator game. As I mentioned, a walk on 3rd string QB led the offense to tie the game in the fourth quarter, but then threw an interception to seal the loss. If Lagway was playing, he would have gotten more points than Warner because he plays better in the second half of games and he had already scored some points. I don’t have time right now to do the stats but I’ll work on it and get back to you.
Hump, I can’t say that Florida would have won if DJ played the whole game, but I can say that he is an utterly different football player than Nico, with dramatically different deep ball throwing ability, pocket movement, and football IQ.
Nico has arm talent. He zips the ball on middle distance throws, actually with too much velocity at times in my opinion. He has not been accurate throwing deep.
DJ is still raw. His CMP is nothing to write home about. But he undeniably has “It.” An intangible play making ability when it matters.
He was physically constrained from running last night by a restrictor band running the full length of his leg. He had to throw from the pocket and LSU knew he couldn’t run. He still made multiple deep completions.
As for Georgia, Starks is the only really elite cover guy in the Georgia secondary this year. And the Georgia “halftime adjustments” argument wears a little thin with two losses.
So I don’t know if Florida would have won. But it’s absolutely a reasonable question.
I’m assuming your saying the halftime adjustments are not relevant based on losing the game. Because his statement is pretty factual.
Nico isn’t accurate often enough, and like you say he throws with too much velocity much of the time especially over the middle, however he does have more accuracy downfield than it seems, many of those balls have been dropped. That happens about as often as he misses.
Point made by JTF…proof of halftime adjustments have zip to do with W or L. Pretty sure the only team to play UGa and have more offensive stats in the second half vs first half was Ms St.
Dart went 4 for 6 for 68 yds inthe 2nd half, UGa did not lose due to inadequate defensive adjustment, they lost due to 3 straight possessions with turnovers.Against Bama once again the 2nd half defensive adjustment almost overcame another rash of 3 turnovers minus the late game breakdown to Williams…thin or not, the halftime adjustments were made. They would have been made for DJ as well. It’s what Kirby does.
Usually but not always. Warner had about the same amount of yards as Dart in the second half, either Warner is as good as Dart, or maybe the defense didn’t adjust quite as well in the Gator game.
“without a likely path to Atlanta and wondering what’s next.”
Seventeenth verse, same as the first. Irrelevant in the SEC since 2007, and nothing to show for it since January 4, 1999.
Let’s be honest, Brady Cook wasn’t “doubtful” all week. He was barely hurt. Drinkwitz (like most of the SEC coaches) was playing the injury report game and that game doesn’t involve a shred of truthfulness.
it sure seems like there’s been a good number of declared ‘worst loss(es)’ of the brian kelly era. no shade intended at the lsu fans on here, but after the hire…and even into his tenure, a number of them sure were forecasting a high probability that kelly would win a title in br. they simply referred to the fact that the last 3 HCs had done it, so….
Kari Lake says the gators won this years WLOCP..I’m going with that!
Swing and a miss on that one, Camel Toe supporter.
Tennessee is not at GA’s level yet (at least a motivated GA’s level). But, they are closing the gap.
The difference in the game? UT’s inability to get any real pass rush on Beck. They made a decent QB look better than he is. We know from the balance of the season that UT does have a good D front. So, all the credit goes to GA’s O line. Their pass protection is what won the game
Spot on. Each game is different, and certainly a Freshman like Nico is going to do better at home and all, but he’ll come along. Lagway is really good, wish the Gators didn’t have him lol
Exactly. The elite level of execution on Georgia’s O line, and the lack of it on Tennessee’s was what won Georgia the game.
Texas will be exposed. WooPig