Predicting the final record of every SEC team after Week 10
Week 10 might have added to the SEC’s chaos. Thought you had a read on South Carolina? Not so fast. Auburn? Very possibly wrong. LSU? No, you didn’t. The good news is that we’re still here to sort it out and untangle how the SEC will end up, or at least how it looks to end up. Here’s where we’ve got every SEC squad finishing the regular season:
OK, so New Mexico State looks pretty safe. But Arkansas or Auburn? Look, we’re still staying at 11-1. But this Alabama team has given us pause. That Florida team that nearly upset them just fell to 4-5. It’s been a strange season and another Alabama loss wouldn’t shock us.
We’ll hold at 8-4 on the Hogs. That game at LSU looks much more interesting than it did, but assuming that Arkansas takes care of business in that one, they’ll finish an unlikely 8-4 season that will only grow more impressive considering how stacked the SEC West is.
We’ll stay at 8-4 on the Tigers, as we didn’t have them winning in College Station anyway. Mississippi State will be a challenge and South Carolina looks a little tougher than it did before Week 10, but we’ll stick with 8-4 for the Tigers.
Could the Tigers grab a 6th win? Of course. Home games with Arkansas and A&M are both winnable, but even as impressed as we were by the Alabama game, it’s hard to call for either. LSU could plausibly end up 7-5, but at some point, the lack of program momentum has to slow down LSU.
Mississippi State: 6-6
State will have a puncher’s chance at Auburn and in the Egg Bowl. But at the end of the day, both seem likely to follow Arkansas in the list of tough SEC losses this year for the Bulldogs.
Ole Miss: 9-3
After a survive-and-advance win against their old coach, we’re changing our tune on the Rebels. A&M’s performance was a notch more impressive, so we’ll drop Ole Miss to 9-3, with wins over Vandy and State to finish the year.
Texas A&M: 10-2
Assuming that mighty Prairie View doesn’t scramble it all, we’ll take the Aggies to win out, beating Ole Miss and LSU to end up 2nd in the SEC West. A 10-2 season with a win over Alabama is a pretty strong statement for A&M.
Surely, Florida’s slide stops here. Right? RIGHT? Realistically, any team that loses to South Carolina by 23 is entirely capable of laying an egg at Mizzou or at home against Florida State. If the Seminoles were better than awful, we’d slide Florida to 6-6.
Tennessee won’t beat Georgia, but if anybody in the SEC can make them sweat for a few series, it might be Josh Heupel and Hendon Hooker. Nobody else is beating Georgia in the regular season, either.
Weirder world — Kentucky going 9-3 or Kentucky fans being cranky about going 9-3? Maybe it’s progress, maybe it’s FOMO as Tennessee arguably lapped UK in Year 1 under Josh Heupel. Still, a 9-3 record would be one of Kentucky’s best seasons in recent memory.
Given South Carolina’s current momentum, we’re flipping that game to the Gamecocks. Missouri is capable of beating this awful Florida team in CoMo, or even of winning at Arkansas. But predicting either? No thanks.
South Carolina: 6-6
Flip that predicted win over Clemson (which did feel tenuous) to a win over Missouri, which gets Carolina to a bowl game. Who didn’t have the Gamecocks by 23 over Florida?
Beating Kentucky doesn’t make any real difference in UT’s 2021 season. A 7-5 mark will get a lower tier bowl game. But it does build some impressive momentum going into the offseason, and it’s not hard to see a path for UT to get back to being one of the East’s top teams — not necessarily competing with Georgia, but anything short of that.
This one is staying put.