We almost saw No. 1 fall in Week 5. The upset bid fell just short, but it’s probably enough to give us a new No. 1.

Clemson advanced to 5-0, but North Carolina gave Dabo Swinney’s squad all it could handle. After a touchdown cut it to 21-20, UNC went for two and missed. On a day when Alabama won 59-31 over Ole Miss, it will be tempting for Associated Press Top 25 voters to put the Crimson Tide at No. 1.

Elsewhere, it’s not a terribly exciting new poll. Teams who won big are unlikely to see big jumps as in many cases, the teams ahead of them either won or were on a Week 5 bye. This will disappoint fans of a few Big Ten teams (Ohio State, Penn State, Iowa), but voters have been reluctant to punish teams who win or did not play (in spite of some of our previous projections).

With that said, here’s how we project the new AP Top 25 based on Saturday’s results and current scores:

    1. Alabama (5-0) def. Ole Miss, 59-31
    2. Clemson (5-0) def. North Carolina, 21-20
    3. Georgia (4-0, off Week 5)
    4. LSU (4-0, off Week 5)
    5. Ohio State (4-0) leading Nebraska, 48-7 3Q
    6. Oklahoma (4-0) def. Texas Tech, 55-16
    7. Auburn (4-0) leading Mississippi State, 56-16 4Q
    8. Wisconsin (4-0) def. Northwestern, 24-15
    9. Florida (5-0) def. Towson, 38-0
    10. Notre Dame (3-1) def. No. 18 Virginia, 35-20
    11. Texas (3-1, off Week 5)
    12. Penn State (4-0) def. Maryland, 59-0
    13. Oregon (3-1, off Week 5)
    14. Iowa (4-0) def. Middle Tennessee, 48-3
    15. Boise State (4-0, off Week 5)
    16. Washington (4-1) def. No. 21 USC, 28-14
    17. Utah (3-1) vs. Washington State, 10 p.m. ET kickoff
    18. Michigan (3-1) def. Rutgers, 52-0
    19. UCF (3-1) leading UConn, 56-14 4Q
    20. Cal (4-1) lost to Arizona State, 24-17
    21. Virginia (4-1) lost to No. 10 Notre Dame, 35-20
    22. Michigan State (4-1) def. Indiana, 40-31
    23. Oklahoma State (3-1) leading No. 24 Kansas State, 16-3 3Q
    24. Texas A&M (3-2) def. Arkansas, 31-27
    25. Wake Forest (5-0) def. Boston College, 27-24

Projected to drop out of the AP Top 25: No. 21 USC (3-2) lost to No. 17 Washington, 28-14; No. 24 Kansas State losing to Oklahoma State, 16-3 3Q