Mississippi’s huge win at second-ranked Alabama was enough to push the Rebels into a College Football Playoff projection after Week 3 and effectively tossed the Crimson Tide from top four to outside the New Year’s Six.

The Rebels jumped an incredible 12 spots in Sunday’s Top 25 and are now tied with TCU for No. 3 in the nation.

The chances are slim that defending SEC champion Alabama takes a similar road to Atlanta and manages to win out like it did in 2014 following a loss to Ole Miss with remaining games at Georgia, at Texas A&M and against LSU.

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The Citrus Bowl in Orlando would love a nine-win Alabama team to fall to their game, but it would take others slipping ahead for New Year’s Six berths for it to become reality — which could happen.

Auburn’s humiliating road loss to LSU has made a huge impact on this week’s projections. Previously in Tampa’s Outback Bowl, the Tigers have slipped to Jacksonville against a mid-level Big 12 finisher.

So much for Arkansas.

Most of us expected the Razorbacks to be 3-0 and ranked inside the Top 15 at this point, but consecutive losses as double-digit favorites has put this team on the outside looking in for bowl season with several games against ranked teams remaining.

Arkansas joins South Carolina and Vanderbilt as SEC teams who will likely be staying at home during the holiday season.


  • College Football Playoff Semifinal (Cotton Bowl): Ole Miss vs. TCU
  • New Year’s Six Peach: Georgia vs. Notre Dame
  • New Year’s Six Sugar: LSU vs. Baylor
  • Citrus: Alabama vs. Wisconsin
  • Outback: Texas A&M vs. Michigan
  • Music City: Florida vs. Virginia Tech
  • Belk: Tennessee vs. Georgia Tech
  • Liberty: Mississippi State vs. Texas
  • TaxSlayer: Auburn vs. Minnesota
  • Texas: Mizzou vs. Nebraska
  • Independence: Kentucky vs. Pittsburgh

On the outside looking in: Arkansas, South Carolina, Vanderbilt