SEC bowl projections after Week 7: Chaos creates opening for 2 SEC teams in Playoff

Jim Tomlin | 2 years ago

Well, that was an interesting weekend.

Seven ranked teams lost Friday or Saturday — all to unranked teams.

Call it college chaos. No. 2 Clemson, No. 5 Washington and No. 8 Washington State were among the teams seeing their hopes for an unbeaten season dashed.

In the SEC, of course, the big result was LSU’s comeback victory over No. 10 Auburn, which knocks the orange and blue Tigers down the pecking order and gives a boost to the purple and gold Tigers.

And the result raises the question: Will anyone in the SEC aside from Alabama and Georgia get to 10 wins this season? How about nine?

This isn’t going to make anyone happy but, for now, there are too many quality unbeaten and one-loss teams contending for the New Year’s Day 6, so the SEC now only gets two of those spots.

The league is just so balanced that, again, it’s hard to see anybody from the third-best team on down really breaking out of the pack. The best chance? Could still be Auburn. Or how about Texas A&M, which already got its loss to Alabama out of the way? We almost forgot about you, Aggies, after that opening debacle against UCLA (but that loss looks worse every week as Bruins coach Jim Mora keeps having to update his resume).

The good news for the SEC?

The weekend’s results made it somewhat harder for the ACC and way harder for the Pac-12 to earn a spot in the College Football Playoff. My thought from the beginning was that the Pac-12 was so balanced that its champion would have two losses. A week after I gave up that notion, the league finally gave it credence. Also, Auburn beating Georgia seems less likely now. So, any Georgia fans scrunching up their faces at these predictions on a weekly basis can sleep tight and unfurrow their brows. They’re all right, for now.

CFP Semifinal (Sugar Bowl)
January 1, 2018
New Orleans, LA
vs.

CFP Semifinal (Rose Bowl)
January 1, 2018
Pasadena, CA
vs.

Citrus Bowl
January 1, 2018
Orlando, FL
vs.

Outback Bowl
January 1, 2018
Tampa, FL
vs.

TaxSlayer Bowl
December 30, 2017
Jacksonville, FL
vs.

Liberty Bowl
December 30, 2017
Memphis, TN
vs.

Music City Bowl
December 29, 2017
Nashville, TN
vs.

Belk Bowl
December 29, 2017
Charlotte, NC
vs.

Texas Bowl
December 27, 2017
Houston, TX
vs.

Independence Bowl
December 27, 2017
Shreveport, LA
vs.

Birmingham Bowl
December 23, 2017
Birmingham, AL
vs.

2017-2018 POSTSEASON
CFP NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP
26
vs.
23

CFP SEMIFINAL (SUGAR BOWL)
24
vs.
6

CFP SEMIFINAL (ROSE BOWL)
54
vs.
48

PEACH BOWL
27
vs.
34

CITRUS BOWL
21
vs.
17

OUTBACK BOWL
26
vs.
19

TAXSLAYER BOWL
31
vs.
27

MUSIC CITY BOWL
23
vs.
24

BELK BOWL
52
vs.
55

TEXAS BOWL
33
vs.
16

The

Comments Section (Hot Takes Welcome!)

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  • Sad but true, Bama 1st string vs. Bama 2nd string would be the best game this year!

  • Penn State’s gonna get beat by OSU …

  • U.K. Beat South Carolina in Columbia and has a better record at this point in the season. But they get a better bowl bid than U.K.? I don’t think so

    • “At this point” is correct.

    • Happens all the time. Look at Auburn/Georgia 2014. Georgia beat Auburn handily and had a better record, yet Auburn went to the Outback Bowl while UGA went to the Belk.

      Other factors to consider are how well a fan base travels and what bowls a team has played in recently. UK went to the Taxslayer bowl last year so they would be less likely to make a return visit.

      • “A better bowl”
        Any Bowl other than the championship is just a constellation prize.

      • agdawg, I think there were two years we won against UGA and we got to watch you guys go to the championship. If I’m not mistaken, one of those years we got to see Mark Richt do an Arkansas pig call before our game with them.

        • Hey man that’s pretty cool…not sure what that has to do with anything though.

    • By bowl season, Kentucky basketball will be the only focus

      • WRONG. UK travels better than most schools for bowls. Let’s face it, bowl games are more precious to us, because we haven’t gotten to go as often as the UGAs of the world. That basketball focus crap is only true if we don’t make it to a bowl. If UGA wasn’t going bowling, I don’t think you or many other GA fans would give a crap about bowl season either. Seeing as UK is one (1) win away from bowl eligibility and is predicted to have several more wins, I feel confident we’ll be involved in bowl season this year, (just like last year), and thus, very focused on it. But thanks for trying to tell us what we care about as a fan base.

    • UK’s standing will depend on how they fare against MS State. They’ve also got to play at Georgia and face a desperate Tennessee squad with nothing left to lose.

      SC’s only remaining road game is at Georgia and the only home game they aren’t favored in at this point is the rivalry game against Clemson.

  • Auburn should be able to handle Arkansas, but Texas A&M is now a toss-up. Georgia and Bama are almost certain losses. 8-4 is the best that an Auburn team under Gus Malzahn can do (2013 was a clear fluke).
    Auburn would be wise to dump Malzahn whenever Jay Jacobs is kicked out.

    • I wouldn’t write Auburn off so quickly. The Alabama loss is almost certain, but they should be favored in every other game. I think FPI gives them an 85% chance to beat Texas A&M (not that that means all that much).

    • Is it bad that I’m hoping Auburn drops A&M and UGA? That way this clown show can end. If that happens, I predict Gus gets fire the day after the loss to UGA and JJ resigns at the end of the season.

  • Don’t recognize the logo of the team Vols to play. Must be so insignificant it doesn’ ring a bell. Who is it?

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