SEC Week 11 predictions: ESPN's SP+ predicts every game
There are some huge games on the Week 11 schedule in the SEC, highlighted by the SEC West showdown in Oxford between Texas A&M and Ole Miss and No. 1 Georgia’s visit to Tennessee.
On Wednesday, ESPN’s Bill Connelly released his weekly SP+ predictions, which are created using a computer model that he has described as an “opponent- and tempo-adjusted look at the most sustainable and predictive aspects of college football. It is intended to be predictive and forward-facing.”
Many believe the Volunteers’ high-powered offense will be the toughest test that the vaunted Bulldogs’ defense has faced this year, and SP+ sees that as being the case as well.
The SP+ model has Tennessee losing 34-20, but that would be closer than the current point spread of 20 and would represent the most points that Georgia would have allowed this season.
As for the A&M-Ole Miss game, the Aggies are favored by 2.5 and SP+ sees that as being right on the mark, as it has Texas A&M winning 30-27.
As for the closest SEC game of the weekend, SP+ can’t pick a winner between Missouri and South Carolina, as it has the game finishing tied at 28, which obviously won’t happen. In that matchup, the Tigers are favored by a point.
Here’s a look at what the SP+ model predicts for all of the week’s SEC action:
- Alabama 58, New Mexico State 2
- Auburn 28, Mississippi State 24
- Florida 44, Samford 16
- Georgia 34, Tennessee 20
- Missouri 28, South Carolina 28
- Texas A&M 30, Ole Miss 27
- Kentucky 37, Vanderbilt 17
- Arkansas 30, LSU 27
WEEK 11 SP+ PROJECTIONS
Cincy 42, USF 12
Clemson 48, UConn 0
Mich 25, PSU 23
Auburn 28, Miss St 24
Bama 58, NMSU 2 lol
OU 31, Baylor 29
UGA 34, Tenn 20
Miami 31, FSU 27
Iowa 24, Minn 20
Ohio St 41, Purdue 17
A&M 30, Ole Miss 27
NC St 29, Wake 28
ND 32, UVA 29
Oregon 37, Wazzu 23 pic.twitter.com/19SH3KpTJN
— Bill Connelly (@ESPN_BillC) November 10, 2021