There are some huge games on the Week 11 schedule in the SEC, highlighted by the SEC West showdown in Oxford between Texas A&M and Ole Miss and No. 1 Georgia’s visit to Tennessee.

On Wednesday, ESPN’s Bill Connelly released his weekly SP+ predictions, which are created using a computer model that he has described as an “opponent- and tempo-adjusted look at the most sustainable and predictive aspects of college football. It is intended to be predictive and forward-facing.”

Many believe the Volunteers’ high-powered offense will be the toughest test that the vaunted Bulldogs’ defense has faced this year, and SP+ sees that as being the case as well.

The SP+ model has Tennessee losing 34-20, but that would be closer than the current point spread of 20 and would represent the most points that Georgia would have allowed this season.

As for the A&M-Ole Miss game, the Aggies are favored by 2.5 and SP+ sees that as being right on the mark, as it has Texas A&M winning 30-27.

As for the closest SEC game of the weekend, SP+ can’t pick a winner between Missouri and South Carolina, as it has the game finishing tied at 28, which obviously won’t happen. In that matchup, the Tigers are favored by a point.

Here’s a look at what the SP+ model predicts for all of the week’s SEC action:

  • Alabama 58, New Mexico State 2
  • Auburn 28, Mississippi State 24
  • Florida 44, Samford 16
  • Georgia 34, Tennessee 20
  • Missouri 28, South Carolina 28
  • Texas A&M 30, Ole Miss 27
  • Kentucky 37, Vanderbilt 17
  • Arkansas 30, LSU 27