SEC Week 7 predictions (and bets)
We’re back with another round of predictions in anticipation of Week 7 of the SEC season.
SDS news desk editor Michael Bratton (@MichaelWBratton) and SDS Podcast co-host Chris Marler (@VerneFUNquist) are back again to share their (sometimes terrible) predictions picking SEC games and making picks against the spread.
Chris is 15-20-1 against the spread for the season while Michael is 11-25 on the season.
Here is how the guys predict the Week 7 action to play out:
Vanderbilt at Mississippi State (-19)
Michael: The game SEC fans have been waiting for all year is finally here! Seriously though, how many fans plan on watching the pillow fight that’s sure to unfold in Starkville this weekend between the hapless Commodores defense and a Mississippi State team featuring an offense that has seemingly no way to end a drive in the end zone? It’s the moveable object meets the stoppable force in this one. Look for Will Rogers to finally earn his first start for Mississippi State, something that should have happened several weeks ago, and to lead the Bulldogs to better results on the field but the best matchup in this game will be Zack Arnett’s defense against Vandy’s true freshman quarterback Ken Seals. Mississippi State wins but they are giving too many points up in this one.
Mississippi State 24 Vanderbilt 13
Chris: Things I’d rather watch than this game: election coverage with my aunt, antiques roadshow in Spanish, paint drying, Fast & Furious Tokyo drift, and/or any of those dramatic ass Modelo commercials about finding the fighter in you. We get it Modelo. You’re fancy Corona. Anyways, Mississippi State shouldn’t be favored by 19 over anything. Not even total number of players leaving the program.
I’ll take Vandy, and catch the highlights when this limp writsted arm wrestling match is over.
Mississippi State 12 Vanderbilt 8
Texas A&M (-7.5) at South Carolina
Michael: Last weekend in the SEC featured several streaks being put on the line and nearly every single one of them remain intact for another season. Will Muschamp better hope that doesn’t happen in this game or this could be the final time he has the opportunity to beat Texas A&M during his tenure at South Carolina. Kellen Mond may be playing the best football of his college career entering this game as the Aggie QB has completed 59 of 84 passes (70.2%) for 737 yards with 8 touchdowns and 1 interception during Texas A&M’s 3-game winning streak. Those numbers compare favorably to Mond’s career vs. South Carolina as he’s completed 64 of 97 passes (65.9%) for 733 yards with two touchdowns and 167 rushing yards with another touchdown on the ground. If Will Muschamp’s defense can’t solve Mond after seeing him a total of four times, what are we even doing in Columbia? I have a feeling South Carolina fans will be asking themselves that question all weekend long after another tough loss.
Texas A&M 31 South Carolina 24
Chris: We all know the historical numbers of how much A&M struggles in the month of November, and we all know how different Kellen Mond and the Aggies are on the road than they are at home. I’m still taking the Aggies. Why? Collin Hill. If I wanted to watch a QB go 12-22 for 163 yards 1 TD and 1 INT I’d go back and watch Kellen Mond highlights from freshman year.
The Aggies are getting better and better every week, and they’re not going to lose this game. This offensive line has allowed only 2 sacks all year, and I expect them to keep the run game going with Spiller and Smith. Aggies pull away late.
Texas A&M 34 South Carolina 17
Tennessee (-2) at Arkansas
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Michael: This is the toughest game of the week to forecast for me, as either team could easily win it on Saturday. When you consider Arkansas is undefeated against the spread this season, it’s clear the betting public has yet to buy-in on the Razorbacks just yet, regardless of how well they have played this season. Tennessee, on the other hand, is 2-3 against the spread and has lost three in a row (on the field and in Las Vegas). Tennessee has better talent but can this coaching staff get the most out of these players? The Vols also have the advantage of having two weeks to prepare for this game while the Razorbacks are coming off a physical loss at Texas A&M last weekend. During the Jeremy Pruitt era at Tennessee, the Vols are 4-0 when having two weeks to prepare for a game and their opponents are coming off a game the week prior. This game may be the most important one remaing on the schedule for both teams considering how badly Tennessee needs to start the second half on a positive note heading into a rough stretch while Arkansas could be an underdog in every remaining game. This should be a really good game.
Tennessee 33 Arkansas 30
Chris: Did you know that (including bowl games) Jeremy Pruitt is 3-0 in games coming off a bye week to teams not named UGA? Pretty good. Yes the sample size is small, but the number is still impressive, and good coaches/teams make adjustments after a break. Also, the last time the Vols came off a bye away from home was in 2018 when they shocked Auburn on the Plains.
I said last week I think the jig is up in Fayetteville because they’re too good to overlook. They’ll be one dimensional on offense, and *gulp* I’m going to trust Guarantano over Franks no matter how much I hate it. Also, having to trust either of these starting QBs for 60 minutes of football is like trusting a game of Russian Roulette with 5 bullets instead of 1.
Tennessee 24 Arkansas 23
Florida vs. Georgia (-3)
Michael: If Dan Mullen’s Florida program can’t beat Kirby Smart’s Georgia program this season, it may never happen. Seriously, how often will the Bulldogs be rolling out a former walk-on at quarterback that was fourth-string on the depth chart two months ago, have the leader of the defense involved in a near-fatal accident and have an injury report longer than the losses I’ve mounted this season making gambling picks? Meanwhile, Florida’s offense continues to look like one of the best units on that side of the ball in the nation with a quarterback that may be a Heisman finalist and perhaps the most unstoppable skill player in the nation in Kyle Pitts. Don’t expect the Bulldogs to lay down in this game, their College Football Playoff hopes are on the line, and this game should go down to the wire but I’ll take the points in this one and feel good about it.
Florida 28 Georgia 24
Chris: Neither team has one more than 3 consecutive games in this series in the last 15 years. Georgia has won, and covered, in their last 3 vs the Gators. There’s no better time for Florida to win vs UGA, and for Dan Mullen to take the next step with the program.
However, last week I saw Dan Mullen try to start a fight in a pair of Dockers. YOU DON’T FIGHT IN PLEATED KOHLS KHAKIS DAN. Can’t trust that.
Also, since 2017 Kirby Smart has lost 4 regular season games. Following those losses he is 14-0 in regular season games and has still reached the SEC Championship Game in each of the previous 3 seasons. UGA finds a way to win. No matter which QB plays.
Georgia 28 Florida 27