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SEC Football

Week 10 win probabilities for every SEC team

Stan Chrapowicki

By Stan Chrapowicki

Published:


What is your team’s win probability this week? Below is a list of every SEC team’s win probability for Week 10, according to ESPN’s Football Power Index.

Alabama (59.6%): The Crimson Tide, which needed a fourth-quarter rally to top Tennessee 19-14 on Oct. 24, play host to fellow AP top 10 team LSU on Saturday night. The Tigers walloped Western Kentucky 48-20 two weeks ago.

Florida: (93.0%): The Gators, who jolted Georgia 27-3 last week, can clinch the SEC East with a home victory over Vanderbilt on Saturday. The Commodores were hammered 34-0 at Houston last week.

Georgia (86.0%): The Bulldogs have a good chance to recover at home against Kentucky after their poor showing in Jacksonville last week. The Wildcats are coming off a poor showing of their own last week, a 52-21 home loss to Tennessee.

Mississippi State (70.9%): The Bulldogs, who crushed Kentucky 42-16 in their last game on Oct. 24, get what FPI projects to be their easiest remaining regular season game, tonight’s matchup at Missouri. The Tigers lost at Vanderbilt by a touchdown two weeks ago. After hosting Alabama next week, Mississippi State visits Arkansas on Nov. 21 before closing out its regular season with the Egg Bowl at home on Nov. 28th.

Ole Miss (77.1%): The Rebels, who beat Auburn 27-19 last Saturday on the road, have won two straight. They have a solid shot to make it three in a row with Saturday’s home game against Arkansas, which beat up on Tennessee-Martin 63-28 last week.

Tennessee (90.7%): The Volunteers, who crushed Kentucky 52-21 in their most impressive performance of the season last week, have a great chance to win back-to-back games for the first time this season with Saturday’s home game against South Carolina. The Gamecocks blew a pair of 7-point leads before falling at Texas A&M 35-28 last week.

Texas A&M (74.8%): The Aggies, who held off South Carolina by a touchdown at home last week, entertain Auburn on Saturday. The Tigers lost at home against Ole Miss by eight last Saturday.

Stan Chrapowicki

Stan Chrapowicki is a contributing writer for Saturday Down South. He covers SEC football, Alabama and Auburn.

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