Week 11 SEC Championship Predictor: Alabama on crash course to meet Florida
Emphasizing the prediction element in ‘predictor’, here’s how we project each team’s chances to win the league title heading into the season’s 11th weekend:
ALABAMA (45 percent chance)
The Crimson Tide earned front-runner status in both the West and the College Football Playoff race with their statement win over LSU last weekend. From here on out, it’s win and you’re in for Alabama.
FLORIDA (30 percent chance)
The Gators have clinched the SEC East, but what’s the likelihood this Florida team goes into Atlanta and beats an elite out of the West? Over the final three weeks, Jim McElwain’s offense must improve.
LSU (20 percent chance)
It’s clear for the Tigers — win out and pray Alabama loses on Saturday to Mississippi State or in the Iron Bowl against Auburn.
OLE MISS (2 percent chance)
In the case of a three-way tie, the Rebels — at least mathematically — still have a shot. You can read about divisional tiebreaking scenarios, here.
MISSISSIPPI ST. (2 percent chance)
Before we get into scenarios for the Bulldogs, just know this — Mississippi State must win its final three games against Alabama, Arkansas and Ole Miss to be in the conversation. We’ll worry about the rest after this weekend.
ARKANSAS (1 percent chance)
Last week’s overtime victory over Ole Miss kept the Razorbacks’ slim hopes alive. We emphasize slim since Alabama would have to lose to Auburn in the regular-season finale for tiebreaker purposes.