Considering the rough start to the season and the embarrassing losses Tennessee experienced at home against Florida and at Georgia, the Volunteers are a respectable 3-4.

Tennessee even ended its long SEC losing streak with a 30-24 victory at Auburn two weeks ago. However, the Volunteers will have to record more shocking wins in order to make a bowl game.

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Of their five games remaining, the Volunteers are favored to win in only one of them according to the ESPN FPI, and that’s the contest versus Charlotte next Saturday. Against its four remaining SEC opponents, Tennessee has the best odds to win at Vanderbilt in the final week of the season, but the Vols’ chances only sit at 46 percent.

Here’s a closer look at the probability from the ESPN FPI that Tennessee wins each of its five remaining games:

Oct. 27: @South Carolina, 20.3 percent
Nov. 3: Charlotte, 93.5 percent
Nov. 10: Kentucky, 34.1 percent
Nov. 17: Missouri, 29.7 percent
Nov. 24: @Vanderbilt, 46 percent

Tennessee needs to win three of its last five games to make a bowl game. After everything the program has been through in the last two seasons, that would be quite an accomplishment in Jeremy Pruitt’s first season. But it seems unlikely to happen.