SEC week 11 predictions

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Week 11 brings us some interesting matchups in the SEC, and Kevin and I have been pretty much on target every week throughout the season. I’m 60-13 on overall picks, and he’s 59-14.

Enjoy these last three weeks of football because it will be over before we know it.

On to week eleven:

Arkansas at #8 South Carolina

Jon: Arkansas has owned this series of late winning the last three by an average of 18 points per game. Connor Shaw will be limited in the running game because of an ankle injury, not to mention Lattimore-less, too.  Arkansas’ defense has been playing better as of late. Did I just say that? I have to throw an upset pick in there this week. Arkansas 24, South Carolina 21

Kevin: If South Carolina loses this game, it’ll be a major stain on this season. The South Carolina pass rush should have a field day against the Arkansas passing game. Remember the hits that Tyler Wilson took against ULM? Are you telling me Clowney and his boys won’t terrorize Wilson, but ULM will? I think South Carolina destroys Arkansas. I’m not buying the upset. South Carolina 31, Arkansas 17

LA-Lafayette at #6 Florida

Jon: Florida’s ability to run the football wins this game. All Gator fans are hoping to see some improvement on offense, because at times it seems the offense is going backwards.  I think they score 30 this week against the Sun Belters from Louisiana. Florida 31, LA-Lafayette 7

Kevin: Florida has two scrimmages to get ready for Florida State. If they can’t start putting together more first downs against ULL, going into Tallahassee at the end of the month is going to be ugly. Florida 27, ULL 7

Missouri at Tennessee

Jon: Tennessee can score points in boatloads, but they are going to have to in their last three to win because the defense is just awful. Both teams combine for 1-10 in the SEC, and I think Tennessee gets it done. Tennessee 35, Missouri 17

Kevin: I can’t decide if Missouri is awful or actually mediocre. I think more mediocre. I will say that my 2-year old son is a more accurate thrower than Mizzou’s James Franklin. Seriously, his accuracy might be the worst in the country. Tennessee’s defense is equally miserable. I think the Tigers gained a little confidence last week against Florida, and that helps them this week. I have no confidence in the Vols to put away a team. Tennessee 33, Missouri 31

#15 Texas A&M at #1 Alabama

Jon: The game of the week is a marquee matchup between the country’s top defense and the SEC’s top offense. I think Johnny Manziel gets off to a great start and carries a lead over into the second half, but I like Alabama to win late. Alabama 24, Texas A&M 17

Kevin: In games like this I typically default to the idea that when a team is dependent upon one player for most of their offensive production against a dominant, well coached team, I always go with the dominant, well coached team. This takes nothing away from Johnny Manziel. I think he’s awesome. I also recognize the idea that Alabama might have a bit of a hangover after the emotional win in Baton Rouge. I think the Bama ground game is too much in the second half for the athletic, but still new-to-the-SEC Aggie defense. Alabama 31, Texas A&M 17

#5 Georgia at Auburn

Jon: Georgia can close out the SEC East this week and punch their ticket to Atlanta for a date with the Crimson Tide. Georgia is just way too much for the Tigers, but stranger things have happened in Jordan-Hare Stadium. Georgia 35, Auburn 10

Kevin: Georgia will win the game. The question is how do they look. Do they make mistakes and let Auburn hang around for a bit, or do they steamroll the reeling Tigers? Probably somewhere in the middle. Georgia 38, Auburn 17

#21 Mississippi State at #7 LSU

Jon: Both teams are 7-2 but have looked light-years apart throughout the course of this season. MSU has been outscored 76-20 in the last two games, and winning a night game at Tiger Stadium is too much for MSU. LSU 31, Miss State 17

Kevin: Everyone wants to know. Will Zach Mettenberger be more like Stephen Garcia who looks like Tom Brady once a year or was last week the key to getting to the next level. Mett needs to show that last week was not a fluke. Miss State will struggle offensively in this one. I think LSU gets back to a more ground and pound game after airing it out last week. LSU 21, MSU 16

Vanderbilt at Ole Miss

Jon: Whichever team wins punches their bowl ticket first. I love what Hugh Freeze and James Franklin are doing at each school and the energy each have brought to their program and fan base. But someone has to win this game, right? I like the Rebels, just because they are playing in Oxford. Ole Miss 26, Vanderbilt 23

Kevin: Gotta go with the home team in this one. Vanderbilt is a decent football team, but the Rebs should play strong in front of the home crowd. Ole Miss 31, Vanderbilt 24

Photo Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-US PRESSWIRE

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