Alabama game-by-game predictions: ESPN's FPI predicts Tide's season
Defending national champion Alabama opens fall camp Friday, August 6.
The Crimson Tide lost a host of star power on offense in quarterback Mac Jones, wide receiver DeVonta Smith and running back Najee Harris; however, Nick Saban has stacked the roster full of other future first-round picks, and development has never been a problem in Tuscaloosa.
This year, Alabama opens up with former powerhouse Miami in the Chick-fil-A Kickoff Game from Atlanta. The Hurricanes, led by quarterback D’Eriq King, won’t be pushovers. Manny Diaz’s squad has some talent and a great offensive mind leading the charge in coordinator Rhett Lashlee.
ESPN’s Football Power Index recently released the game-by-game predictions for the Tide’s season. The index projects Saban’s team to finish 11-1 in the regular season. The Tide’s toughest game? That comes when Alabama travels to College Station to take on the Texas A&M Aggies, as the Tide have a 65.5 percent chance of winning that SEC West showdown according to the index.
Alabama’s second toughest game comes in Week 3 with a road trip to The Swamp to take on Florida. The Gators lost a host of offensive talent, but playing any Florida team in Gainesville isn’t easy.
Below are the FPI’s game-by-game predictions for Alabama:
- Sept. 4 vs. Miami: 81.5 percent chance of winning
- Sept. 11 vs. Mercer: 99.9 percent chance of winning
- Sept. 18 at Florida: 75.2 percent chance of winning
- Sept. 25 vs. Southern Miss: 99.1 percent chance of winning
- Oct. 2 vs. Ole Miss: 90.4 percent chance of winning
- Oct. 9 at Texas A&M: 65.6 percent chance of winning
- Oct. 16 at Mississippi State: 85.5 percent chance of winning
- Oct. 23 vs. Tennessee: 95.6 percent chance of winning
- Nov. 6 vs. LSU: 90.7 percent chance of winning
- Nov. 13 vs. New Mexico State: 99.9 percent chance of winning
- Nov. 20 vs. Arkansas: 94.5 percent chance of winning
- Nov. 27 at Auburn: 81.3 percent chance of winning
Will Alabama finish undefeated in the 2021 regular season again?