Under Nick Saban, Alabama has an ominous history as a home favorite of less than 7 points
Alabama is listed as a 6-point favorite in the game Saturday against Georgia in Bryant-Denny Stadium. If history is any indication, that may be an ominous sign for the outcome of the game, which pits the SEC’s only remaining undefeated teams.
According to a stat from ESPN researcher Chris Fallica, Alabama as a home favorite of less than seven points is 0-4-1 under coach Nick Saban. The last instance came last year against LSU, and before that, it was 2011 LSU, 2010 Auburn, 2007 Georgia and 2007 Arkansas.
The most notable storyline of this game is No. 2 Alabama’s high-flying offense against No. 3 Georgia’s suffocating defense. Alabama has the No. 1 offense in the country at 8.66 yards per play. Georgia has the No. 1 defense at 3.7 yards per play among teams that have played more than one game.
There is also speculation that the winner could take the No. 1 ranking in the AP Top 25 away from Clemson for the first time this season. It not only has SEC ramifications, but the winner will be in the driver’s seat for a spot in the College Football Playoff.
Under Nick Saban, Alabama has been less than a seven-point favorite at home five times. The Tide has lost four of the games outright (’19 LSU, ’11 LSU, ’10 AUB, ’07 UGA) and pushed the other (’07 ARK).
— Chris Fallica (@chrisfallica) October 13, 2020
So 2007, 2007, 2010 and 2011? What a useless stat. That’s like saying Bama is 3 – 2 against Climpson. No, because we don’t count 2008 (Tommy bowden). RTR and fAU.
And 2019 vs LSU.
It just goes to show how rarely Bama has been a less than touchdown favorite at home over the years. You’re right, it doesn’t mean didley and isn’t meant to be useful, but it is pretty interesting.
Georgia is good, but stretching my imagination to believe they win at Bama’s house
Add to that our coach is a psychopath, a racist and is going bald.
Did you see him raging on Golding?
I thought we got an interception, but it was just Saban removing his headset and the light was in my eye.
And of course he’s always been short.
And I was a fan before we got busted by the NCAA.
The winner almost certainly gets to play the loser again in December in what is almost certainly a more important game for the play off spots.
Don’t count your chickens. Even if UGA were to somehow win this game, the cocktail party will determine the winner of the SEC East if both the Gators and Dawgs take care of their remaining games.
Under Nick Saban, Alabama has an Ominous history as a home favorite of less than 7 points. Wow! Streaks in sports and all that…
I can see it now. If Georgia makes it 0-5-1, Saban will be asked about the less than 7 points curse until he breaks it. That could make for an interesting press conference…