ESPN's FPI predicts Auburn's remaining games
A slow start hampered them, but the Auburn Tigers eventually got it going to beat Tulane at home 24-6 on Saturday , getting to 2-0. After a matchup at home against Kent State next week, things get significantly harder for Auburn.
In fact, Auburn is only projected to win four out of the final nine games of the season, according to ESPN’s Football Power Index. The FPI is a metric that “measures (a) team’s true strength on net points scale; expected point margin vs average opponent on a neutral field”. As one of the two teams in the country that is tasked with playing both Georgia and Alabama every season, the yearly schedule is tough enough for Auburn. Throw in a road trip to Gainesville for that second cross-divisional matchup, followed by two consecutive SEC road games, and things get even harder.
Here are the projected win probabilities for the rest of Auburn’s season, according to ESPN’s FPI:
- Sept 14. vs. Kent State: 98.5%
- Sept. 21 @ Texas A&M: 43.3%
- Sept. 28 vs. Mississippi State: 69.2%
- Oct. 5 @ Florida: 41.9%
- Oct. 19 @ Arkansas: 90.7%
- Oct. 26 @ LSU: 20.1%
- Nov. 2 vs. Ole Miss: 84.4%
- Nov. 16: vs. Georgia: 47.2%
- Nov. 23 vs. Samford: 99.1%
- Nov. 30 vs. Alabama: 22.2%