Betting Stuff: DFS picks for Week 4 of the 2024 season

We went 3-for-4 on DFS plays last week. Virginia quarterback Anthony Colandrea finished 11 passing yards shy of his over. (And Colston Loveland left his game with an injury, voiding that play.) Onward and upward. Here are 5 DFS player props to consider for Week 4. Everything below can be found inside the Sleeper Fantasy app. New users who sign up with the promo code SOUTHXL will get a deposit match up to $100.

Tennessee QB Nico Iamaleava over 0.5 interceptions

As outstanding as he has been to open his Tennessee career, Iamaleava also hasn’t yet faced a defense like the one he’ll see in Norman and he hasn’t yet played in an environment like the one that awaits him in Norman. I think OU head coach Brent Venables will have a couple of counters for Josh Heupel’s offense, and I think OU can challenge Iamaleava with its secondary. We’ve seen the Tennessee quarterback showcase his arm talent, but I think there’s still a question of whether he can layer a ball into a soft spot over and over and over again. NC State picked him off twice, and I think the Sooners can get him at least once. Oklahoma already has 4 picks in 3 games.

Auburn RB Jarquez Hunter under 93.5 rushing yards

The Tigers turned to Hank Brown last week and beat New Mexico 45-19. Hunter ran for a season-high 152 yards and a score to help Brown, who played without turning the football over. Arkansas will provide a much stiffer test to the Auburn ground game. The Razorbacks currently rank 10th nationally in run defense (by yards per carry) and largely held the Oklahoma State ground game under wraps in Stillwater 2 weekends ago. The Cowboys, with a veteran offensive line and an award-winning tailback, got nothing going up the middle and had to start bouncing outside to find room. I’d imagine Arkansas will feel pretty confident if it can stop the run and put this game on Brown’s arm. I think Hunter will face heavy numbers in the box.

LSU QB Garrett Nussmeier over 296.5 passing yards

Nussmeier threw for 308 yards in the season opener and then for 302 yards the following week against Nicholls. UCLA just gave up 307 yards to Indiana quarterback Kurtis Rourke and got pantsed in its own house. Now, the Bruins have to fly across the country to face the best passing attack they’ve seen to date.

Duke QB Maalik Murphy over 1.5 passing touchdowns

At this point we just need to find the quarterback facing the Middle Tennessee State defense and, so long as that quarterback has a pulse, ride with him. Murphy has thrown 122 passes in 3 games. Against the Blue Raiders, he’ll see a defense that is dead last in the country defending the pass. MTSU ranks 134th in EPA per dropback allowed, 134th in passing success rate allowed, and 130th in yards per dropback allowed. No team has given up more passing touchdowns (10).

USC QB Miller Moss over 1.5 passing touchdowns

I like USC to put points on the board against Michigan in Ann Arbor. USC has had an extra week to prepare for the defense it’ll face, Lincoln Riley has a matchup in the secondary he can exploit opposite Will Johnson, and Moss has the profile to take advantage of Wink Martindale’s blitz-happy nature. Moss’s 2.21-second time-to-throw is the fourth-fastest among qualified FBS quarterbacks so far this season. The ball is jumping out of his hands and he’s been deadly accurate (82% adjusted completion rate). Texas quarterback Quinn Ewers had 3 touchdown passes in their win over the Wolverines — all to different receivers. Michigan’s pass defense has problems and I trust Riley to be able to work that matchup.