ESPN’s FPI now projecting Georgia to lose multiple games in 2024
ESPN’s model is predicting the Georgia Bulldogs will lose multiple games in 2024.
The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season. According to the most recent FPI update, Georgia is predicted to lose its road trips to Alabama and Texas and Ole Miss.
Below are the projected chances for Georgia to win each of its remaining games:
- Sept. 28: at Alabama — 33%
- Oct. 5: vs. Auburn — 87.1%
- Oct. 12: vs. Mississippi State — 94.4%
- Oct. 19: at Texas — 29.4%
- Nov. 2: vs. Florida — 91%
- Nov. 9: at Ole Miss — 46.5%
- Nov. 16: vs. Tennessee — 54.1%
- Nov. 23: vs. UMass — 99%
- Nov. 29: vs. Georgia Tech — 89.9%
Of the 9 games remaining on Georgia’s schedule, FPI is projecting the Bulldogs to finish the season with 6.2 wins. Given that Georgia has already won 3 games, that means the model is expecting UGA to win approximately 9 games during the 2024 regular season.
Excluding the COVID-shortened 2020 season, this would be the first time Georgia has won fewer than 10 games in a season since the first year of the Kirby Smart era in 2016.
It’s fair to assume the Bulldogs could struggle against Alabama, where they currently have just a 33 percent chance of winning on the road on Sept. 28. The Crimson Tide have looked strong on both sides of the ball and are coming off a huge road win over Wisconsin.
ESPN gives Georgia the lowest percentage of winning on their Oct. 19 trip to battle No. 1 Texas, with just a 29.4 percent chance the Bulldogs win on the road in Austin.
Finally, the ESPN FPI gives Ole Miss a slight edge over Georgia on Nov. 9, with the Bulldogs slated with a 46.5 percent chance to knock off the Rebels on the road.
Georgia fans won’t be thrilled to see these projections, but it’s clear Georgia’s performance against Kentucky has played a major role in how the ESPN FPI views Georgia’s season moving forward.
Love it. Keep it coming.
I told you so. I don’t understand why you don’t listen. First I say it. Then 6-12 months later, you will see people who get paid, copy me. Another certain fact is either Pac 12 Alabama or choking Georgia is going to be looking up at Vols in 11 days. Tick Tock
Tick Tock Baby. Go Big Orange!!!
You will have to play someone at some point and as usual, you’ll disappear until the next talking season and talk up your win in some bowl game nobody cares about.
I’m proud you know your SEC lore in that Tennessee over the last 15 years has always played the toughest SEC schedule. But the question everyone is waiting on baited breath is who you think is going to be looking up at Vols in 10 days? Pac 12 Alabama or Choking Georgia?
Tennessee’s three toughest opponents are Oklahoma, Alabama, and Georgia. No other opponent on its schedule presents a comparable challenge. And there is plenty of space between each of UT’s most difficult games.
Oklahoma and Alabama are four weeks apart on Tennessee’s schedule. So are Alabama and Georgia.
Tennessee also has favorable lead-in games to Oklahoma, Alabama, and Georgia.
Therefore, your argument fails, as usual.
No you don’t love it. Stop lying. It’s eating you Jawga folks up. At least tell the truth. You are worried. Very worried.
Why would we be? A little to early for that don’t ya think?
Leg. No not really. Go back and read all the posts up to the Kentucky game and read them now. A 180 degree turn in the confidence about how Georgia was going to plow through everybody. Now those comments have disappeared. Taking into the entire body of posting. Georgia fans are certainly worried now. To say you folks are not worried is just not true.
…and who has stayed consistent this whole time? This guy! PAC 12 Alabama or Choking Georgia will be looking up at VOLS in 9 days. Who’s it gonna be? You or them?
Sorry luvie, trying to shoo away an orange peckergnat, incessantly annoying little critter she is.
You know you aren’t being honest about this, luvie. The Ky UGa pregame articles are still here and most of the knowledgeable UGa fans clearly implied taking Ky and the points. You do know that we had scored 16 and 14 points the previous two times in Lexington, yes? Knowledgeable fans knew this. Guess we will add you and volchoochoo clown to the unknowledgeable fan category if you keep up this silly stance.
The Jawga fans hype from a few weeks ago has gone silent. All thee boisterous puppy’s have gone into their doghouse.
Sure. Always worried when it comes to playing Bama. But optimistic too.
Can take medicine to open up that throat.
Shoo orange peckergnat, shoo.
Thanks for the laugh. I needed it. “Alabama off from a strong road win over Wisconsin”. Really? That was a “big” win. The same Alabama that may had lost to USF if the game stopped in the 3rd quarter?
Georgia beats Alabama and Ole Miss by double digits. Texas is my co cern.
The Bama glazing is unreal. They are not a complete team. It’s a one man show right now.
Did you know they have a 17 year old receiver???
Yeah, Bama can’t compete with that 1 point Kentucky win! Lol
I’m truly surprised at that 54.1% against TN. If Georgia does somehow lose 2-3 of those games listed, it wouldn’t surprise me to see that number vs TN drop to below 40%, even with it being in Athens. Especially if TN can keep rolling and get to Georgia with maybe one loss (vs Bama). If TN shows up in Athens undefeated and Georgia has a couple of losses under its belt……that number could drop below 25.
We will find out this Saturday what sort of team TN is this season.
Nice…only 3 “if”s
It’s a projection, everything in the future is an “if”. Everything in the past is an I wonder what would have happened “if” something happened differently.
I’m certain that there are some things in Georgia’s recent history that they wonder what would be different “if” things hadn’t happened.
I only have one if scenario still haunting me, 2nd and 26…but two subsequent natties certainly erases the pain. Oh, if Tyler Simmons wasn’t called offsides, that one also. Good luck to your Vols this weekend. I am not impressed with OKie so far this year but never easy to win on the road in the SEC…Vols 34-20
Oh finally! Someone who knows Georgia football and it’s ethos. You are not haunted because you deep down you knew you would choke away the SEC Championship game, the playoff and history all in 1 game.
If I wanted an lip from you I would get it off of my zipper…pssss off. Your pathetic act is old and stale.
Is it going to be Pac 12 Alabama? Or is it going to be you? Is it going to be Choking Georgia looking up at Vols in 10 days? Inquiring minds want to know and your forum reputation, low as it is, could use a boost with a correct pick 10 days out. Just Saying.
Old and stale. Go talk to Ron, you and he are spawns from the same sperm bank. Now scoot along sonny…nothing to see here.
For the record, leg has repeatedly declined to say who would be looking up at Tennessee in 10 days. It invites more questions. Does he just not know? Or does he know but won’t say because he has to admit the choking ethos of Geogia?
For the record? Bless your heart volchoochoo, bless your heart son. I hate when no child left behind…fails
Maybe leg thiunks it iswn’t a given you guys will win in Oklahoma this weekend and therefore neither will be looking up at the Vols.
Maybe he thought it was a given that Georgia would magically stop choking.
Shoo orange peckergnat, shoo
Leg. You Jawga folks are worrying a lot after that Kentucky game. It shows.
Worry is a little bit dramatic wouldn’t you say, luvie? It’s a long season, one or two games doesn’t mean much in the new landscape. I’ll start worrying when we lose our 3rd game and have to start selling our position as to why we deserve to be top12, how about you?
I’ve said it numerous times but will say it one more time for you, my compadre. Ideal scenario, 10-2, no SECCG to play, first round CFP home game…
PAC 12 Alabama looks weak and smells of leg smegma. Georgia chokes every year. I’m having a hard time figuring out which one of you will be looking up at VOLS in 9 days.
If UGA loses 3 games then the Volunqueers are losing 5! Lmao
Georgia chokes.
3 years now. Vols generate early buzz by running it up on nobodies then have to play somebody and get beat. It is as constant ass the North Star.
And Spencer Rattler says hi LOL
Who’s it going to be? You or Pac 12 Alabama looking up at Vols in 10 days?
Does he have our plays again?
You guys have beaten Oklahoma already? I missed that.
It may be because you are still focused on Kentucky.
14-13 vs UCF at the end of the 3rd qtr….nuff said.
What does a 3rd quarter score matter? Oh wait, vol fan, never mind. Very nice classy move kicking the on-sides kick with a 30-0 lead the other day by the way…nuff said
It was a one score game with under 6 minutes left to play. In Tuscaloosa. A Saban led team would never. Just sayin…..
As far as the on-side kick goes, Nico said it best, gotta keep your foot on their throats.
VFL you apparently don’t watch College Football, lol!
Last year’s game, Saban was coach, was 3-3 at half and 10-3 at the end of the 3rd. But a Saban led team would never. Now I appreciate the fact that you have a secret man crush on our former coach and you probably rub one out while watching GameDay now but you shouldn’t project so much in your posts, it’s weird!
I don’t think any SEC team will finish the season undefeated. Too many good teams. Too many road games.
You must not know much about football. There are 4 quarters in a football game and not 3. Also, Bama has not played UCF you blooming idiot.
UCF, USF…. any of those low teams that could expose the Pac 12 nature of your program. Doesn’t really matter who they are, just what league they are in. And unfortunately for you, they were in the right league to expose.
10-2, no SECCG and a home game to open the CFPs…ideal scenario
Sorry Hump but I can’t agree that a team that has not lost a regular season game since 2021 is all of a sudden losing 2-3 games? I mean, it makes for good journalism, and I use that term very loosely when discussing SDS writers, and gives the Volunqueer trolls a chance to feel good about themselves before they get beat down by UGA & Bama! I wonder what the Volunqueers record against UGA & Bama is since 2010 combined? Someone look that up for me please. Anyways, got a busy 10 days coming up ending with the UGA/Bama game next weekend so if I don’t get a chance to tell you, good luck next weekend! Either way it goes I just hope it’s a good game! Peace my friend!
since 2020 actually.
Enjoy the game goat, I know the atmosphere will be electric in Tuscaloosa. Kind of regretting I turned my nephew down to attend, but pretty sure Tootsie my long time recliner will beat a park bench in BD…like you I hope it is a tight and exciting game. We have a lot to correct after that near fiasco in Lexington. Cheers ol boi and go Dawgs!
129 years. 129 out of 132 years your program has choked – never so brilliantly as last year with SEC Champ, National Champ and History on the line in ONE GAME. That was only 9 months ago. Maybe you would care to explain to your readers why you threaded the needle to choose 2022 and 2023 as the years to base your opinions on? Very interesting indeed.
lol, you are a tard like no other tard!!!!
Kirby will LOVE this. I am sure it is on the walls in the locker room right now. Really big so everyone can see.
Players already know what’s up. Just confirming what everyone knows about Georgia’s choking program isn’t the motivator you are looking for.
Ya’ll bout to f around and find out! There are concerns and areas of improvement but we shall see. Not predicting 12-0, never thought that, but FPI now projecting 4 Ls.
I will admit that I don’t know much about it, how they come to these conclusions, but I do know that ESPN FPI seems to be among the least accurate of the predictive process.
Literally, the hillbilly fan base is the most delusional fan base in all of college football
Combine Dawg Nation under Richt, Gator Nation under mullet and the UCF universe with their Natty – he Hillbilly holler is still hands down the most delusional
Espn is gar bage woke sports. They count for nothing.
Define “woke”, please.