Auburn and Oklahoma will face off in Norman on Saturday in the only top-25 SEC matchup of the weekend.
Both the Tigers and Sooners are 3-0 entering this matchup. The winner of this game could make a case for being in the early season College Football Playoff hunt while the loser will be left to pick up the pieces from its first loss of the season.
Auburn vs. Oklahoma betting odds
Here’s a look at where the betting odds from this game currently stand according to a variety of the best sports betting apps:
Auburn fact sheet
- Auburn is 3-0 this season and is halfway to bowl eligibility. After a somewhat tumultuous offseason, the Tigers enter Week 4 ranked No. 19 nationally in schedule-adjusted EPA-per-play, according to Game on Paper.
- Quarterback Jackson Arnold will be making his return to Norman, where he spent the first 2 seasons of his college career. Arnold was OU’s backup in 2023 before struggling mightily in 2024.
- So far this season, Arnold has been excellent as a runner and plenty productive as a passer. On the ground, Arnold has rushed for 192 yards and 4 touchdowns already. He had 16 carries for 137 yards in the Baylor game alone. Arnold saw less rushing usage against Ball State and South Alabama, but the Tigers could look to use his legs more in a matchup against Oklahoma.
- His passing production is a bit more complicated to analyze. On the surface, the numbers are good: 70% completion percentage, 4 touchdowns, 0 interceptions. But Arnold is averaging 7.3 yards per attempt and as an average depth of target of just 7.8 yards. The main concern with Arnold is his pressure reps have not been good — he’s just 4-for-8 for 25 yards against pressure this year, per PFF. He’s also taken 6 sacks in 19 dropbacks.
- Auburn has a very formidable wide receiver room led by Cam Coleman and Eric Singleton. Horatio Fields and Malcolm Simmons have been productive to start the year, too. Auburn’s receivers vs. Oklahoma’s defensive backs may be the biggest advantage the Tigers have in this matchup.
- Defensively, Auburn’s weakness is in the secondary. The Tigers rank 117th nationally in EPA-per-pass defense, according to Game on Paper. Most of the damage was given up to Baylor’s Sawyer Robertson, who is an elite quarterback nationally. Auburn also gave up a couple of passing touchdowns to South Alabama. The Tigers are closer to middle-of-the-pack nationally in pass defense success rate.
- Auburn’s edge rushers have proven to be formidable so far this season. Keyron Crawford and Keldric Faulk have collected 9 and 8 pressures, respectively, in 2025.
- Auburn’s run defense appears to be elite (4th in EPA-per-rush allowed) at this point in the season.
Oklahoma fact sheet
- Oklahoma is 3-0 overall and has comfortably covered the spread in each of its 2 FBS games so far this season.
- Quarterback John Mateer has established himself as an early Heisman Trophy favorite. He leads the SEC with 71 completions and 944 passing yards so far this year.
- Mateer has also been very effective on as a runner. He’s already scored 4 rushing touchdowns and is averaging almost 5 yards per attempt. Per Game on Paper, he also has a rushing success rate of 59% — the best on the team.
- Expect Mateer’s legs to play a big role in this game. Dating back to his time with offensive coordinator Ben Arbuckle at Washington State, Mateer has averaged 18.7 rushes per game against power-conference opponents. That number dips to 12.9 rush attempts per game against all other opponents.
- Tory Blaylock has emerged as Oklahoma’s lead running back this season. That’s a pretty significant surprise, as the true freshman appears to have beaten out incumbent Jovantae Barnes and high-profile transfer Jaydn Ott for the role. Blaylock has been by far Oklahoma’s most efficient (0.29 EPA per rush) running back this season.
- As for OU’s passing game, tight end Jaren Kanak and receiver Isaiah Sategna have emerged as legitimate weapons for Mateer. Deion Burks is still likely the go-to receiver, but Kanak has been as productive as any tight end in the country this season and Sategna has proven to be useful out of a variety of formations.
- Oklahoma will be without a key defensive playmaker in R Mason Thomas for the first half of this game due to a targeting ejection vs. Temple last week. Thomas is OU’s best edge rusher and has recorded 5 QB hurries so far this year.
- The strength of OU’s defense is on its interior defensive line. Damonic Williams, Jayden Jackson and David Stone are all potential NFL players at some point.
- Oklahoma’s secondary has been elite this season (No. 1 in pass defense success rate), but it’s worth noting the Sooners are starting true freshman Courtland Guillory at cornerback. Guillory has stepped in nicely for the injured Eli Bowen, but it stands to reason he could be tested by an elite Auburn WR room in this matchup.
Auburn vs. Oklahoma predictions
Jackson Arnold is not likely to get a warm reception from the Oklahoma faithful as he makes his return to Norman. But I do think he will continue to be relatively productive, particularly as a runner. I think we could see 15+ rush attempts from Arnold in this game, just as we did in the season opener vs. Baylor. I also like Auburn’s matchup with its receivers vs. OU’s cornerbacks, who have yet to be tested so far this season. There are too many potential options for me to feel good about backing any specific receiver in this spot, but I do think Arnold could have a better-than-expected day throwing the ball by just hitting a big play or 2.
Pick: Jackson Arnold over 210.5 pass+rush yards on Underdog Sportsbook
I know I gave Isaiah Sategna some praise earlier, but I’m fading him in this spot. Sategna has feasted on passes from behind the line of scrimmage to the tune of 8 catches for 75 yards so far this year. However, almost all of that production came in Week 3 vs. Temple. Against Michigan, Sategna caught 2 passes from behind the line of scrimmage for a total of 1 yard. He only has 9 targets in 3 games from beyond the line of scrimmage, so most of his damage has come on designed screens and sweeps. I think Auburn’s defense is going to be too athletic for Sategna to put up significant production from these types of plays. Instead, I think we’ll see John Mateer push the ball downfield toward other receivers like Deion Burks and Keontez Lewis (who each have 8 targets in the “intermediate” passing game this year, per PFF, while Sategna has just 2.
Pick: Isaiah Sategna under 42.5 receiving yards on FanDuel
Spenser is a news editor for Saturday Down South and covers college football across all Saturday Football brands.
