DFS Picks of the Week: Our top Underdog plays for college and NFL, Nov. 15-16
By Adam Spencer
Published:
Just like that, we’re running out of regular-season college football action. This weekend is Week 12. After this Saturday slate, there are only 2 more weeks left before postseason play.
There’s still a bit more time left on the NFL schedule, as we prepare for Week 11 (out of 18) to resume on Sunday. But fret not, DFS fans. There’s still plenty of money to be made before all is said and done!
Every week, our DFS experts — Andrew Olson and Adam Spencer — share their 3 favorite college football picks and their top 2 NFL plays from the Underdog app. Keep reading below to see who the guys like this week. But first…
Click here to sign up for an Underdog account ahead of this busy football weekend. Use Underdog promo code SDS to claim $100 in bonus entries when you play your first $5 contest:
Week 12 CFB Picks
Here are our favorite college football picks on the Saturday slate:
Andrew Olson
DJ Lagway, Florida QB: Lower than 220.5 pass yards
A week after getting benched during a blowout loss at Kentucky, Lagway faces No. 7 Ole Miss in Oxford. In 6 games away from home, all Florida losses, Lagway is averaging 168.4 passing yards. The Ole Miss defense allows 156.6 passing yards on average at home.
Carson Beck, Miami QB: Higher than 21.5 completions
For all his faults, Carson Beck has high completion percentage of 72.7. Beck’s Miami Hurricanes are facing NC State in Week 12. The Wolfpack have one of the ACC’s worst passing defenses, in which opponents are throwing 37 times per game on average.
John Mateer, Oklahoma QB: Lower than 209.5 pass yards
We’re a month into Mateer’s return from injury, and the passing numbers haven’t been great. Post-injury, he logged his most attempts (31) and yards (223) at home against Ole Miss. Thanks to Oklahoma‘s quirky schedule, Mateer’s first 2 SEC road games have come during the last 3 outings. At South Carolina and at Tennessee, he posted 309 yards passing on 55 attempts. Alabama’s passing defense has been strong at home, allowing 162.2 yards per game.
Adam Spencer
Rueben Owens, Texas A&M RB: Higher than 64.5 rush yards
Texas A&M ran for over 200 yards in the second half against Mizzou last weekend. Owens himself totaled 102 yards on the ground. South Carolina isn’t nearly the defensive force that Mizzou is, so I like Owens to have 65+ yards this Saturday at home.
Fernando Mendoza, Indiana QB: Higher than 241.5 pass yards
I like the Hoosiers to easily dispatch Wisconsin at home. However, even if it turns into a blowout, Mendoza should be allowed to pad his numbers a bit for his Heisman Trophy résumé. He’s in a race with Ohio State QB Julian Sayin and others at the moment, so every yard helps.
Behren Morton, Texas Tech QB: Higher than 251.5 pass yards
Texas Tech should be able to handle UCF at home pretty easily. I expect a lot of running from the Red Raiders in the second half, but look for Morton to have a huge first half. He could reach 252 pass yards before the intermission in this one.
Week 11 NFL Picks
Here are our top NFL Sunday plays:
Andrew Olson
James Cook, Buffalo Bills RB: Higher than 79.5 rush yards
Cook only ran the ball 14 times for 53 yards in Buffalo’s surprising upset loss to the Miami Dolphins. The Bills might want to get back to feeding Cook the ball starting Sunday. There are rushing yards to be had against the Tampa Bay defense. Cook notably hasn’t gone under 80 yards rushing in back-to-back weeks all season.
Ja’Marr Chase, Cincinnati Bengals: Higher than 18.55 fantasy points
Chase has been on quite the hot streak as of late, going for 90 receiving yards or better in his last 5 games. Chase’s biggest game of the year came against Pittsburgh in Week 7, when he recorded 16 catches for 161 yards and 1 touchdown, worth 38.1 fantasy points. Chase gets to face the Steelers secondary again Sunday.
Adam Spencer
Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills QB: Higher than 220.5 pass yards
I’ll piggyback off of Andrew’s James Cook pick. I think this could be a massive day for the Buffalo offense. The Bills need a statement win in a big way after a loss to the Dolphins last week. Give me Allen to connect on a few big plays and put up 221+ yards through the air.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Seattle Seahawks WR: Higher than 10.5 targets
I like the addition the Seahawks made at the trade deadline, grabbing Rashid Shaheed from the Saints. But JSN is still the top dog in this receiving room. I like him to draw 11+ targets from Sam Darnold in a huge NFC West battle on Sunday.
Reminder to sign up for Underdog by clicking here (or any of the other links on this page) to earn your $100 bonus. Underdog is one of our favorite apps like PrizePicks. Get started today with Underdog promo code SDS:
Adam is a daily fantasy sports (DFS) and sports betting expert. A 2012 graduate of the University of Missouri, Adam now covers all 16 SEC football teams. He is the director of DFS, evergreen and newsletter content across all Saturday Football brands.
