Bowl Season is underway. The SEC was scheduled to make its first appearance on Dec. 26, but South Carolina was unable to play in the Gasparilla Bowl, leading to the game’s cancelation.
Instead, Mizzou will be the first conference team to take the field in a 2020 bowl game. On Dec. 30, the Tigers face No. 15 Iowa in the Music City Bowl.
ESPN’s Football Power Index predicts the outcome of every game, including bowl games. The FPI has the SEC getting off to a rough start in the postseason, with Mizzou, Florida, Mississippi State and Arkansas expected to fall in the first four games before Georgia takes the field on New Year’s Day.
Here are is every SEC team’s chance to win its bowl game according to ESPN’s FPI:
- Missouri (21.1 percent chance to win) vs. Iowa
- Florida (42.6 percent) vs. Oklahoma
- Mississippi State (40.2 percent) vs. Tulsa
- Arkansas (30. 4 percent) vs. TCU
- Georgia (70. 5 percent) vs. Cincinnati
- Auburn (60.1 percent) vs. Northwestern
- Alabama (81.2 percent) vs. Notre Dame
- Kentucky (57.4 percent) vs. NC State
- Ole Miss (26.7 percent) vs. Indiana
- Texas A&M (63.7 percent) vs. North Carolina
As a reminder, here is ESPN’s definition of the FPI:
The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily. FPI data from seasons prior to 2019 may not be complete.
Saturday Down South reports and comments on the news around the Southeastern Conference as well as larger college football topics.