ESPN’s FPI updates projections for every remaining game on Texas A&M’s schedule
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Texas A&M averaged 43 points per game in victories over UTSA and Utah State to begin the season. The Aggies didn’t reach that mark in Week 3 against Notre Dame, but essentially got as close as one could get in the exciting 41-40 triumph.
Head coach Mike Elko couldn’t have asked for a better time for a bye week. Texas A&M gets to refresh and regroup this Saturday before turning the page toward SEC play. It’s a much-needed, well-deserved break for the team with the ninth-best odds (46.9%) at earning a spot in the College Football Playoff, according to ESPN’s Football Power Index.
The Aggies have never reached the CFP before and haven’t played for a national championship in 86 years. Merely earning a playoff bid would be historic. To do that, though, they’ve got to keep winning once they return to the field. ESPN’s FPI projects the Aggies will lose 3 games the rest of the way, which would probably put them right on the cut line for a CFP berth.
Here’s look at Texas A&M’s updated win probabilities:
- Sept. 27 vs. No. 22 Auburn – 66.6%
- Oct. 4 vs. Mississippi State – 80.5%
- Oct. 11 vs. Florida – 73.9%
- Oct. 18 at Arkansas – 51.8%
- Oct. 25 at No. 3 LSU – 48.4%
- Nov. 8 at No. 23 Missouri – 40.5%
- Nov. 15 vs. South Carolina – 77.0%
- Nov. 22 vs. Samford – 99.0%
- Nov. 29 at No. 8 Texas – 32.8%
If there’s any good news, the season finale at Texas is not looking nearly as daunting as it did in the preseason. However, there’s plenty of time for that to change. The Aggies will kick off against Auburn in Week 5 at 3:30 p.m. E.T. on ESPN.
