After several consecutive weeks with high-level matchups on the schedule, Week 12 in the SEC, at least on paper, looks as if it might be pretty uneventful.
There are 4 games matching conference schools, with none of those games featuring a point spread of less than a touchdown, while 6 league schools will play lower-level nonconference opponents.
On Wednesday, ESPN’s Bill Connelly released his weekly SP+ predictions, which are created using a computer model that he has described as an “opponent- and tempo-adjusted look at the most sustainable and predictive aspects of college football. It is intended to be predictive and forward-facing.”
In the weekend’s most intriguing matchup between Florida ad Missouri, a game in which both teams need a win to get bowl eligible, SP+ like the 8.5-point favorite Gators to get the job in Columbia, 36-26.
SP+ also likes Alabama to keep its College Football Playoff hopes alive with a 37-18 home win over Arkansas.
Here’s a look at what the SP+ model predicts for all of the week’s SEC action:
- Kentucky48, New Mexico State 10
- Georgia 49, Charleston Southern 1
- Mississippi State 45, Tennessee State 11
- Texas A&M 42, Prairie View A&M 7
- Alabama 37, Arkansas 18
- Florida 36, Missouri 26
- Ole Miss 46, Vanderbilt 12
- Auburn 31, South Carolina 21
- Tennessee 39, South Alabama 15
- LSU 41, Louisiana-Monroe 14
?? WEEK 12 SP+ PICKS ??
Ohio St 39, Mich St 22
OU 33, ISU 29
UGA 48, Ch S'ern 1!!!
Clemson 33, Wake 21?
ND 37, GT 19
Bama 37, Hogs 18
Mich 34, Md 21
Wisc 29, Neb 18
Cincy 35, SMU 23
UTSA 27, UAB 24
USC 33, UCLA 32
BU 28, KSU 27
Miami 30, VT 25
Okla St 31, TT 24 pic.twitter.com/O41eo2Spyd— Bill Connelly (@ESPN_BillC) November 17, 2021
"Chris Wallace covers college football for Saturday Down South. He has covered college athletics for multiple newspapers and also worked previously for Rivals.com and GolfChannel.com."
