Underdog Picks of the Week: Our top plays for CFB and NFL, Nov. 29-30
By Adam Spencer
Published:
Well, folks, all good things must come to an end. The college football regular season ends on Saturday with Rivalry Week.
Fortunately, there are some incredible games on the menu, including Alabama-Auburn in the Iron Bowl and Ohio State-Michigan in The Game. Friday provided plenty of drama, but the college football and NFL slates this weekend provide more opportunities to win money in DFS contests.
As they do every week, our DFS experts — Andrew Olson and Adam Spencer — have provided their top 3 CFB plays and their 2 favorite NFL picks for this weekend. But before we dive into those…
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Week 14 CFB Picks
Here’s who the guys like for Saturday’s college football action:
Andrew Olson
Tommy Castellanos, Florida State QB: Higher than 43.5 rush yards
Gus Malzahn is surely licking his chops getting ready to face a porous Florida defense. The Gators have given up over 200 rushing yards in each of their past 3 games. Castellanos is FSU’s leading rusher this season.
Carson Beck, Miami QB: Higher than 0.5 INTs thrown
SEC and ACC fans can agree on one thing: Carson Beck throws interceptions. Beck’s Hurricanes face a Pitt defense that snags a lot of picks. The Panthers enter the game with 14 INTs, good for second in the ACC.
Diego Pavia, Vanderbilt QB: Higher than 48.5 rush yards
SEC teams are averaging 177 rushing yards per game against Tennessee. Pavia is Vanderbilt’s leading rusher this season, getting 5 yards per rush for an average of 60 yards per game. We know he’s going to lay it all on the line against the Vols.
Adam Spencer
Cade Klubnik, Clemson QB: Higher than 236.5 pass yards
I think Clemson will win outright this weekend, but I do expect it to be a hard-fought, back-and-forth Palmetto Bowl. Look for Klubnik to throw it early and often, putting up 237+ yards through the air.
Ahmad Hardy, Mizzou RB: Higher than 107.5 rush yards
I’d play this number up to 199.5 yards, honestly. I expect the Missouri Tigers to feed Hardy the ball all day against a pitiful Arkansas defense. He ran for 300 yards against Mississippi State. Why wouldn’t he be able to go for 108 against Arkansas?
Jeremiah Cobb, Auburn RB: Lower than 72.5 rush yards
I just don’t see an elite Alabama defense letting Cobb get to 73+ yards on the ground. I also don’t think the game script will allow Auburn to run the ball as much as it might want to. Space and touches will be tough to come by for Cobb.
Week 13 NFL Picks
And here’s who the guys are playing on NFL Sunday:
Andrew Olson
Jakobi Meyers, Jacksonville Jaguars WR: Higher than 41.5 receiving yards
Meyers seems to be fitting in well with the Jaguars after being traded. Over the last 2 games, he logged 9 catches on 12 targets for 114 yards. He draws a favorable matchup against the Tennessee Titans to build on this strong start.
Zach Ertz, Washington Commanders TE: Lower than 0.5 rushing + receiving TDs
Ertz has been kept out of the end zone the last 4 games and that seems unlikely to change for him in Week 13. Washington is expected to still be without Jayden Daniels and the Commanders face a stingy Denver defense on Sunday night.
Adam Spencer
Christian McCaffrey, San Francisco 49ers RB: Higher than 39.5 receiving yards
Running the ball will be difficult against Cleveland. The 49ers will have to move the ball through the air. Fortunately for them, McCaffrey is as good of a receiver as he is a running back. Going for 40+ receiving yards should be doable, even against one of the NFL’s top defenses.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Seattle Seahawks WR: Higher than 97.5 receiving yards
Sam Darnold revenge game? Sam Darnold revenge game. The Vikings are also probably pretty upset that they don’t still have Darnold as their quarterback. JSN will be eager to outplay Justin Jefferson, too. I think JSN goes for 100+ yards on Sunday afternoon.
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Adam is a daily fantasy sports (DFS) and sports betting expert. A 2012 graduate of the University of Missouri, Adam now covers all 16 SEC football teams. He is the director of DFS, evergreen and newsletter content across all Saturday Football brands.
