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SEC Football

ESPN’s FPI predicts the outcome of Texas A&M at Mizzou 

Lee Ann Herring-Olvedo

By Lee Ann Herring-Olvedo

Published:

No one has yet to derail the  No. 3 Fighting Texas A&M Aggies, who remain undefeated at 8-0 overall and 5-0 in the SEC, presenting even more of an opportunity for the No. 22 Missouri Tigers in Week 11. Missouri is eager to secure its first victory over a top-five team since 2010, though the path to postseason contention remains difficult.

ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) gives Texas A&M the edge with a 56.5% chance of victory, compared to Missouri’s 43.5% likelihood of handing the Aggies their first loss.

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Both teams enter Week 11 well-rested after bye weeks. In their last outing, Texas A&M decisively defeated LSU with a score of 49-25. Meanwhile, Missouri seeks redemption following a narrow loss to then-No. 10 Vanderbilt, where they fell short by just one touchdown, losing 17-10.

Despite slim chances of reaching the SEC Championship Game and the College Football Playoff, the Tigers still have significant stakes in this matchup. However, they will be without quarterback Beau Pribula, placing additional pressure on freshman Matt Zollers as he makes his first start. MU possesses several playmakers who can contribute offensively but will face a stern test against Texas A&M’s robust defense. A critical factor will be whether Missouri’s defense can contain Marcel Reed and the dynamic Aggie offense; defensive end Zion Young will play a pivotal role in creating disruption.

Texas A&M continues its ascent in college football; few anticipated its sustained success this season. Quarterback Marcel Reed has made substantial strides in leading the Aggie offense while the defense consistently excels week after week, positioning them as strong contenders for a National Championship appearance. With three regular-season games remaining—against South Carolina and Samford before concluding with their storied rivalry against Texas—the focus now shifts to facing a surprise challenger in Missouri.

This matchup marks another chapter in the history between these former Big 12 foes; they have met only 17 times previously, with Texas A&M holding a narrow lead in the all-time series at 10-7, having won their last two encounters.

Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET from Columbia.

Lee Ann Herring-Olvedo

Lee Ann joins the Saturday Down South team, bringing over fifteen years of experience covering the SEC as both a sports journalist and football scout. With her keen eye for talent, she has also flexes her skills as the Director of Recruiting for the Rebel Walk( Ole Miss) Herring, is a staff writer at USA Today Sports Wildcats Wire, where she dives into the thrilling world of Kentucky football and basketball. When fall rolls around, you can catch her on air as an analyst for the Wake up 502 College Football Show on Big X Sports Radio 96.1 FM—because who doesn't love a good game day chat? A proud Brown University alum, Lee Ann balances her time between the sidelines and press box with her passion for coaching her boys' youth lacrosse and savoring a fine glass of bourbon alongside a good cigar. So, whether she's dissecting plays or rallying the next generation of athletes, Lee Ann is your spirited insider ready to tackle all things SEC!

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