Analytics expert projects Week 2 outcomes for eight SEC matchups

With one college football weekend in the books, each SEC team now has at least one game worth of data points to analyze and project moving forward. As we speed into the second weekend of the season, the SEC’s slate is chock-full of cupcake games and FCS opponents. Based on what we’ve seen so far, the analytics community now has an extra data point to pull from.

So how does analytics expert Brian Fremeau project the weekend ahead?

Without diving deep into the games against FCS competition, here is how Fremeau’s site, BCF Toys, projects the remaining SEC contests going in Week 2:

Alabama is projected to beat Western Kentucky by a score of 43-11. The Tide have a win likelihood of .985 (99%)

TCU is projected to beat Arkansas by a score of 31-30. The Razorbacks have a win likelihood of .488 (49%)

Auburn is projected to beat Arkansas State by a score of 37-17. The Tigers have a win likelihood of .906 (91%)

Florida is projected to beat Kentucky by a score of 31-12. The Gators have a win likelihood of .887 (89%)

Mississippi State is projected to beat South Carolina by a score of 32-20. The Bulldogs have a win likelihood of .795 (80%)

Missouri is projected to beat Eastern Michigan by a score of 41-8. The Tigers have a win likelihood of .988 (99%)

Tennessee is projected to beat Virginia Tech by a score of 29-10. The Volunteers have a win likelihood of .725 (73%)

Vanderbilt is projected to beat MTSU by a score of 21-18. The Commodores have a win likelihood of .572 (57%)

The

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Flowers 4 years ago
I am trul;y loving the possible of my mighty Tennassee Vols defeting the VTech team on the field of play. It is a real possible. (But, maybe more of a difficult game that some or most are thinking?) I truly hop that my mighty Vols do refrain from a repeating of the type and kind of GAMe they played against the Appalachin State . That was too close! And we should have defeting them by more than say 55 points that evening, but we were very fortunate that luck went our way that evening.
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- smithdk4 4 years ago
  VTech won’t be as forgiving of stupid mistakes.
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dellav8r 4 years ago
Can someone explain why tcu is projected to win with a percentage of 49%? Wouldn’t that mean Arkansas has a 51% chance of winning?
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- Vols Streaming 4 years ago
  As usual, a Bammer that can’t read.
  “The Razorbacks have a win likelihood of .488 (49%)”
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Mythic514 4 years ago
MSU lost to an FCS team. SCAR didn’t look pretty but actually won their game against a pretty good defense. So why is MSU projected to win at 80%? I could see MSU being projected to win, but 80% seems very high.
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- Stategrad 4 years ago
  I agree. I think we still don’t have a ggood indication of what this offense is capable of, but I’m afraid we got a pretty good look at the defense. And it ain’t good.
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- Frozen Tiger 4 years ago
  South Alabama is Division I. They play in the Sunbelt Conference. Other than that, I completely agree with everything you said. I don’t think SCAR is good either, and I am salty towards Muschamp, but 80% is way too high.
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- BamaTime 4 years ago
  It’s funny you call them a FCS team when they play in the same Conference as App state…
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SirSpur 4 years ago
80%? Nah…. Looking at OddSharks computer predictions its like 56-52% chance. Way more realistic. Not that the computer will be right…..
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- cocky2612 4 years ago
  thank goodness the computer rankings were wrong last week as well.
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seatonda 4 years ago
VT is not as good as App State, so play hard and make no mistakes and TN will have bigger numbers than whats projected.
And fire Debord
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