ESPN recently released its initial 2017 college football projections using its analytic formula known as the Football Power Index, or FPI for short. While the system isn’t perfect, it does give some insight into how the analytic team at ESPN values each SEC program this spring.

If you are curious to know how ESPN calculates its FPI metrics, here’s how it is determined per ESPN.com.

The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily.

Here’s the full breakdown of how the FPI forecasts the season going for each SEC school next season:

Alabama projects to go 10.6 – 1.9 with a 46.6 percent chance of winning the conference.

Auburn projects to go 9.5 – 2.8 with a 19.8 percent chance of winning the conference.

LSU projects to go 9.0 – 3.1  with an 8.5 percent chance of winning the conference.

Georgia projects to go 8.4 – 4.0 with a 10.5 percent chance of winning the conference.

Tennessee projects to go 7.9 – 4.3 with a 3.7 percent chance of winning the conference.

Florida projects to go 7.9 – 4.4 with an 8.3 percent chance of winning the conference.

Kentucky projects to go 6.7 – 5.4 with a 0.8 percent chance of winning the conference.

Texas A&M projects to go 6.6 – 5.4 with a 0.5 percent chance of winning the conference.

Missouri projects to go 6.5 – 5.5 with a 0.2 percent chance of winning the conference.

Ole Miss projects to go 6.4 – 5.6 with a 0.0 percent chance of winning the conference.

Arkansas projects to go 6.1 – 5.9 with a 0.1 percent chance of winning the conference.

South Carolina projects to go 6.1 – 6.0 with a 0.8 percent chance of winning the conference.

Mississippi State projects to go 6.1 – 6.0 with a 0.1 percent chance of winning the conference.

Vanderbilt projects to go 5.4 – 6.6 with a 0.1 percent chance of winning the conference.