After the excitement of Week 2’s ranked games, including LSU at Texas and Texas A&M and Clemson, there are no ranked matchups in Week 3. In fact, many SEC teams are getting in a final tuneup before entering the conference slate, but we do have Alabama at South Carolina and Florida at Kentucky in terms of SEC vs. SEC action.

There are a few Group of 5 vs. SEC matchups that could give us interesting games. The FPI has it all covered for win probability.

ESPN’s Football Power Index is explained below:

The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily.

Here are ESPN’s win probabilities for every SEC Week 3 game:

  • Arkansas State at Georgia (96.3 percent win probability)
  • Kansas State at Mississippi State (74.3 percent)
  • Chattanooga at Tennessee (97.7 percent)
  • Alabama (86.2 percent) at South Carolina
  • SE Louisiana at Ole Miss (97.4 percent)
  • Colorado State at Arkansas (73.8 percent)
  • Kent State at Auburn (98.5 percent)
  • Florida (66.4 percent) at Kentucky
  • Lamar at Texas A&M (99.6 percent)
  • Northwestern State at LSU (99.9 percent)
  • SE Missouri St. at Missouri (98.4 percent)