ESPN’s SP+ predicts final score of Georgia vs. LSU in the SEC Championship Game

ESPN’s Bill Connelly has shared the SP+ projections for college football’s Week 14 championship slate.

The SEC Championship Game features Georgia and LSU, a rematch of the 2019 game that went to LSU. This time, though, undefeated Georgia enters the game as a heavy favorite over a 3-loss Tiger squad looking to bounce back after falling to Texas A&M in the regular-season finale.

When the matchup was set earlier this month, the SEC Championship odds opened with Georgia favored by 15.5 points. That line has only widened in UGA’s favor. Still, Connelly’s SP+ projects a 33-14 win for the Bulldogs, which would cover a spread of 18.5 points.

CHAMPIONSHIP WEEK SP+ PICKS

Utah 32.0, USC 31.7
TCU 30, K-State 27
Troy 28, Coastal 18
UGA 33, LSU 14
Tulane 28, UCF 23
Michigan 37, Purdue 13
Clemson 37, UNC 28

Goooooooood luck finding betting value here. pic.twitter.com/FQfifytzQ8

— Bill Connelly (@ESPN_BillC) November 28, 2022

Connelly’s computer model is an “opponent- and tempo-adjusted look at the most sustainable and predictive aspects of college football. It is intended to be predictive and forward-facing.”

We’ll find out Saturday how the SP+ projection compares to the result on the field.

Andrew Olson

Andrew writes about sports to fund his love of live music and collection of concert posters. He strongly endorses the Hall of Fame campaigns of Fred Taylor and Andruw Jones.