ESPN’s Bill Connelly has shared the SP+ projections for college football’s Week 14 championship slate.

The SEC Championship Game features Georgia and LSU, a rematch of the 2019 game that went to LSU. This time, though, undefeated Georgia enters the game as a heavy favorite over a 3-loss Tiger squad looking to bounce back after falling to Texas A&M in the regular-season finale.

When the matchup was set earlier this month, the SEC Championship odds opened with Georgia favored by 15.5 points. That line has only widened in UGA’s favor. Still, Connelly’s SP+ projects a 33-14 win for the Bulldogs, which would cover a spread of 18.5 points.

Connelly’s computer model is an “opponent- and tempo-adjusted look at the most sustainable and predictive aspects of college football. It is intended to be predictive and forward-facing.”

We’ll find out Saturday how the SP+ projection compares to the result on the field.