According to Mel Kiper Jr., there’s a 50-50 chance right now of a first-round draft pick in 2017 coming from the SEC, and it could all start with Texas A&M DE Myles Garrett.

The ESPN analyst has released his Way-Too-Early Big Board, ranking his top 25 prospects and then including another five players to watch. In total 16 SEC players make Kiper’s board, with 14 being ranked in the top 25 picks and another two making the list of names to watch.

  • No. 1 DE Myles Garrett, Texas A&M
  • No. 2 OLB Tim Williams, Alabama
  • No. 3 RB Leonard Fournette, LSU
  • No. 5 S Jamal Adams, LSU
  • No. 7 OT Cam Robinson, Alabama
  • No. 8 CB Jalen Tabor, Florida
  • No. 12 DL Jonathan Allen, Alabama
  • No. 15 DE Charles Harris, Missouri
  • No. 16 DE/OLB Derek Barnett, Tennessee
  • No. 21 LB Jarrad Davis, Florida
  • No. 22 DE Carl Lawson, Auburn
  • No. 23 DE/OLB Marquis Haynes, Ole Miss
  • No. 24 DL Deatrich Wise Jr., Arkansas
  • No. 25 RB Nick Chubb, Georgia
  • TE O.J. Howard, Alabama
  • CB Tre’Davious White, LSU

If all 16 were to be selected in the first round of the 2017 draft, it would be a record-breaking night for the conference. The SEC tied a draft record with 12 first-round selections in 2013, but has only managed 11 selections in 2014, followed by single-digit first rounds in ’15 and ’16.

Aside from a player’s health being unpredictable, Kiper also assumes that all players three years removed from high school, such as Fournette and Tabor, will chose to enter the NFL draft. It’s a safe assumption that any player talked about as a first-round pick will leave early, but a point to keep in mind.

In total, 10 SEC teams are represented, with Alabama leading the way with four players on the board. LSU and Florida join the Crimson Tide as teams with multiple members listed.

If Kiper’s board mirrors those of NFL offices, Round 1 next year is going to be a long night for SEC haters.