Multiple advanced analytics favor Florida State to lose in nearly every remaining game
It’s been a forgettable start to the season for Florida State, and things don’t appear to be turning around very soon. At least according to multiple computer models.
Bill Connelly of SBNation’s computer model lists the Seminoles as underdogs in eight remaining games, and he’s dropped their projected win total from 7.2 games to 4.1. FSU returns to action this Saturday at Syracuse in a noon ET game on ESPN. FSU is 1-1 after a loss to Virginia Tech, and a come-from-behind win over Samford on Saturday.
“As things currently stand, they are projected favorites for each of the next two games — by only 1.1 points at Syracuse and 6.6 against NIU — and are projected underdogs in every remaining game,” Connelly wrote.
He remained open to changing his future projections though, and optimism is not out of the picture.
“Still, the schedule offers room for wins,” Connelly wrote. “Syracuse’s offense is unique and scary, and NIU’s defense is tremendous, but these are still the two most winnable games remaining. Win them to move to 3-1, and we’ll reassess. Drop either one, however, and Taggart’s first season could feature the worst kind of first: first missed bowl since 1981.
ESPN’s FPI, meanwhile, lists FSU as an underdog in seven remaining games. It’s only favored against NIU, Louisville, a road game, and Wake Forest. It lists FSU’s projected win-loss total as being 5.1-6.9.