When it comes to rivalry week, much of what you know about these teams doesn’t matter. Any team can win when rivals meet on the field.

Let’s first review the season-long results, then look at this week’s picks.


W18/13 (62%)4/13 (31%)9/13 (69%)5/13 (38%)
W27/8 (88%)2/8 (25%)8/8 (100%)4/8 (50%)
W310/10 (100%)7/10 (70%)6/10 (60%)8/10 (80%)
W45/8 (63%)3/8 (38%)6/8 (75%)5/8 (63%)
W57/7 (100%)1/7 (14%)7/7 (100%)3/7 (43%)
W65/5 (100%)3/4 (75%)*2/5 (40%)1/4 (25%)*
W74/6 (66%)3/6 (50%)4/6 (66%)2/6 (33%)
W82/6 (33%)1/6 (17%)4/6 (66%)3/6 (50%)
W94/5 (80%)3/5 (60%)4/5 (80%)1/5 (20%)
W102/6 (33%)1/6 (17%)4/6 (66%)4/6 (66%)
W113/7 (43%)4/7 (57%)3/7 (43%)2/7 (29%)
W123/6 (50%)2/6 (33%)5/6 (83%)4/6 (66%)
TOTAL59/87 (68%)34/86 (40%)62/87 (71%)42/86 (49%)

LSU (-7) at Texas A&M

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Michael: It’s fair to question how much fight the Tigers have in them after the epic collapse against Florida. LSU has been known to pack it in when things get tough and the defense was incredibly vulnerable with Kendell Beckwith out of the lineup. Beckwith has already been ruled out for this one and it could prove to be the Tigers undoing. It’s also fair to say Derrius Guice’s miscues really cost the Tigers a shot at beating Florida. How will the sophomore respond after his two costly mistakes last week?

On the other end of the spectrum, Texas A&M is looking at some positive injury news and could be getting back Trevor Knight for this game. The Aggies may very well be playing for their coach’s job this Thanksgiving. Considering the Tigers will be traveling on a short week certainly won’t help matters, either. I like A&M to finally get over the hump and beat LSU as an SEC opponent.

Texas A&M 21, LSU 20

Kevin: This may be one of the tougher games to pick this week. Which team can muster enough mojo to reverse the current momentum and get this win to end the season? I think I’m going with the Aggies. The writing is on the wall for Orgeron’s future in Baton Rouge, in my opinion, and while there’s a chance LSU still gets into a Sugar Bowl, I think the motivation is going to be higher on the Texas A&M side.

Texas A&M 28, LSU 24

Arkansas (-8) at Missouri

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Michael: The Missouri defense is a train wreck right now and will be facing off against an Arkansas team that didn’t punt the ball last week after scoring 58 on the road in Starkville.

The main thing Mizzou had going for it was freshman running back Damarea Crockett but he will be suspended after getting arrested last weekend. The only chance the Tigers have will be if Drew Lock goes off in this game. I like Arkansas to keep the offensive momentum going in this one.

Arkansas 42, Missouri 33

Kevin: The better bet here would be that this game is going to go north of 1200 yards of offensive production. Neither of these teams are doing much on defense these days. While Missouri will move the ball, I can’t put any faith in them to win the game.

Arkansas 49, Missouri 40

Georgia Tech at Georgia (-4.5)

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Michael: Has Georgia turned it around or was the Auburn win more about the Tigers’ injury woes than anything the Bulldogs were able to do? The Lafayette game didn’t give us that answer but this game very well could. The triple option offense is obviously difficult to defend but with the strides the Bulldog defense has made in the second half of the season, I like UGA to win this one in a close game.

Georgia 28, Georgia Tech 24

Kevin: Georgia Tech is coming off a couple wins in a row, and this game might have some upset potential. If the SEC loses this matchup, there’s potential for a clean sweep ACC vs. SEC this week.

Georgia Tech 21, Georgia 20

Kentucky at Louisville (-26)

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Michael: With a bowl bid in hand, Kentucky will have nothing to lose in this game, meanwhile Louisville just had its Playoff hopes dashed, what will the ‘Cards have left in the tank? The Houston game was a borderline collapse and now even quarterback Lamar Jackson is being questioned as the Heisman favorite.

The best way for Kentucky to neutralize Jackson will be by keeping him on the sidelines for as long as possible. I like the Wildcats to pound the ball early and often against the Cardinals and have enough success to make this a close game going into the final quarter.

Louisville 30, Kentucky 21

Kevin: This game is going to be close in the first half. Kentucky will come to play. But then, Lamar Jackson will break out in the second half and win by several touchdowns. Remember the Louisville vs. Wake Forest game? The game was 12-10 going into the 4th quarter, then Louisville scored 34 in a single quarter and won 44-12.

Louisville 38, Kentucky 10

Mississippi State at Ole Miss (-8)

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Michael: The Rebels embarrassed the Bulldogs in Starkville last year and judging by Mississippi State’s defensive performances in recent weeks, Ole Miss very well could do so again in Oxford this season if the Landsharks show up ready to play.

That being said, the Ole Miss defense has been MIA for much of the season and Dan Mullen at least has his offense running like a well-oiled machine right now. This game is tough to predict considering both teams will likely be relying on young quarterbacks to make the plays that win the game.

After losing the last two in the series, I like MSU to play its best game of the season against its hated in-state rival.

Mississippi State 38, Ole Miss 35

Kevin: Egg Bowl! I said a few weeks ago when it seemed obvious that Ole Miss was the better team that certainly the Bulldogs will win the Egg Bowl since this game is often quite unpredictable. Now, neither team is easy to predict. I’ll go with Mississippi State in a strange Egg Bowl victory.

Mississippi State 28, Ole Miss 27

Auburn at Alabama (-17)

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Michael: What a game this could have been had Auburn not fell apart down the stretch. Sean White and Kam Pettway will likely both play this week but how effective either performs is a serious question. Auburn’s defense will put up a good fight but it won’t be enough to slow down the Tide for four quarters.

Alabama 26, Auburn 13

Kevin: The Auburn passing game is such a question mark that I can’t take Auburn to make this a close game. Alabama can load up against the run and make Auburn throw the ball. I hope I’m wrong as if this can be close, it’ll be quite entertaining.

Alabama 35, Auburn 14

South Carolina at Clemson (-24)

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Michael: The Gamecocks have had a fantastic season but when matched up with a team with superior talent, Carolina has only unable to challenge anyone not named Tennessee. Clemson has a lot on the line and Deshaun Watson is not going to end his home career with a loss, especially with a potential Playoff spot on the line. Tigers roll in this one.

Clemson 48, South Carolina 14

Kevin: Clemson hasn’t played great against good teams, so I think this game will be relatively close. Muschamp will have his team motivated especially on defense to keep this a game during the first half. Clemson pulls aways in the second half with superior talent.

Clemson 34, South Carolina 14

Tennessee (-7.5) at Vanderbilt

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Michael: Many were shocked by Vandy’s win over Ole Miss, (although I picked it during these picks last week) but the truth is, outside the fourth quarter against A&M, the Rebels have not played well since late September. I’ll give credit to Vandy for the win but it doesn’t indicate to me that the Commodores are ready to take on the upper echelon of the SEC just yet.

Tennessee is on a historic roll on offense and has had a good deal of success over Derek Mason’s defense in the past. With both the deep ball and the running game working at a high level, the Commodores won’t be able to keep up with the Vols offense this week. The Vols have too much on the line not to show up in this game, UT won’t disappoint in Dobbs last regular season game.

Tennessee 38, Vanderbilt 21

Kevin: I think this game will be closer than Michael believes, but the Vols will still get the win in the end. Tennessee is still in the running for the Sugar Bowl, so this is a big opportunity for Butch Jones.

Tennessee 24, Vanderbilt 21

Florida at FSU (-7)

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Michael: Will Florida State be distracted by all the Jimbo Fisher talk, especially if he already has one foot out the door like many are suggesting? If FSU wins this game, the senior class would be the first class to come through Tallahassee with a perfect 8-0 record against Florida and Miami. Have to believe the Gators will be motivated to not let that happen.

I like the Gators to continue to roll this week after the surprising win in Death Valley last weekend. The offense has finally been turned over to Jordan Scarlett and he has delivered four excellent performances down the stretch. Expect him to make this number five and keep the Gators slim national title hopes alive.

Florida 20, FSU 16

Kevin: Florida’s defense and run game is enough to get the win this week despite losing the last five of six. For two years, Jameis Winston got the best of the Gators, and in 2015, the Florida offense was in an utter freefall. While the offense isn’t great in 2016, the run game looked strong against LSU last week. Florida State turnovers means the Gators get the win.

Florida 24, FSU 23