Alabama vs. LSU. LSU at Alabama.

Everything we think we know about this season’s SEC West Division title race, the league race and the national title race will be put to the test this Saturday in Tuscaloosa.

But before we get there, we have to turn to the East.

Georgia beat Florida 24-17 in Jacksonville on Saturday to take control of the SEC East Division race. All this result did was flip our bowl projection for these two teams. We now have the Bulldogs heading to the Sugar Bowl as the SEC’s representative (after the league’s top two teams take two spots in the College Football Playoff, of course) to play projected Big 12 champ Oklahoma. The Gators are now pegged for the Orange Bowl as the highest-ranked SEC/Big Ten/Notre Dame opponent to face the contracted ACC representative, Wake Forest.

Nothing unexpected happened in the SEC this weekend, and there were few upsets nationwide (how could there be with 20 out of 65 Power 5 teams taking the week off?), so outside of that Georgia-Florida swap, there is no movement in this week’s SEC bowl projections.

Texas A&M clinched bowl eligibility with its easy victory over Texas-San Antonio, so a New Year’s Day bowl still beckons for the Aggies. Arkansas made its postseason vacation official with its seventh loss of the season.

With our weekly reminder that these projections are about where we think teams will wind up in December, not where they are now, here is our quick take. We’re still omitting Missouri because the NCAA does not seem inclined to reverse the bowl ban on the Tigers.

We are including our completely unscientific chances of each team making a bowl.

Kentucky (4-4 overall, 2-4 SEC): The Wildcats were idle on Saturday, and if they see Tennessee’s defense making strides, they will worry about having a non-quarterback playing QB. We still think wins over Vanderbilt and UT-Martin will get UK to at least six wins even if UT wins Saturday. Chances of bowling: 90%

Tennessee (4-5, 2-3): The Vols routed UAB, a pretty respectable Conference USA member (the Blazers are in the C-USA West Division race), so now a win over Kentucky would give Tennessee a very high chance at bowl eligibility. Chances of bowling: 55%

Mississippi State (4-5, 2-4): The Bulldogs routed Arkansas to get to four wins. After a bye, a loss to Bama is up next, then FCS program Abilene Christian will give MSU a fifth victory. So we say at 5-6, it all comes down to the Egg Bowl, which is in Starkville. Chances of bowling: 50%

South Carolina (4-5, 3-4): The Gamecocks took care of business against the Commodores. But for any slim hopes to survive, South Carolina cannot sleep on Appalachian State. Remember, the Mountaineers beat North Carolina, which beat Will Muschamp’s crew. Chances of bowling: 30%

Ole Miss (3-6, 2-4): The Rebels put forth a game effort at Auburn but left Jordan-Hare Stadium with another L. Mississippi must run the table from here to reach the postseason. One very big problem: Nov. 16 against LSU. Chances of bowling: 10%

Vanderbilt (2-6, 1-4): Four wins in four games? From this bunch? Starting this Saturday at Florida? We think not. Chances of bowling: 0.1%

Now, on to our bowl projections:

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