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Who will win the SEC? ESPN’s FPI predicts SEC champion through Week 6
By Ethan Stone
Published:
Technically speaking, the halfway point of the 2023 regular season is on Wednesday.
We’re 6 weeks into the college football season and we’ve learned a lot about who is for real, who may still have a shot and who were just pretenders. The SEC has seemed wide open this whole season, but Georgia’s dominance Saturday against No. 20 Kentucky showed the Bulldogs still mean business.
ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) has more than enough data to paint a prediction for who will win the SEC Championship this season. And as we near the halfway point, the Bulldogs are still favorites; though it’s not by much.
Check out the FPI’s chances for each SEC team to win the SEC title below:
- Georgia: 47.5%
- Alabama: 43.8%
- LSU: 4.1%
- Tennessee: 2.1%
- Ole Miss: 1.3%
The remainder have less than a 1% chance to win the SEC, per the FPI.
Alabama’s win over Texas A&M Saturday night was huge for the Crimson Tide. Alabama has yet to lose an SEC game and has downed 2 of its biggest competitors in the West, Ole Miss and the Aggies. LSU is still upcoming, but the Tigers have lost an SEC matchup of their own after dropping to Ole Miss last week. There’s a lot of football to be played, but Alabama is in a great spot.
The SEC East has essentially become a 2-horse race, but Georgia is Secretariat. Tennessee is the only team with a prayer of catching the Bulldogs and gets No. 1 at home in mid-November, but their work wouldn’t stop there.
Because Tennessee dropped Week 3 to Florida the Vols would find it hard to make it to Atlanta without winning out. And with how Tennessee is playing, that seems… unlikely to say the least.
Ethan Stone is a Tennessee graduate and loves all things college football and college basketball. Firm believer in fouling while up 3.