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Duke Blue Devils Basketball

SDS Bracketology: Our latest NCAA Tournament projections (Feb. 2)

Sonny Giuliano

By Sonny Giuliano

Published:


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Well friends, we’ve made it to February, and that means the month of March — and its accompanying Madness — is just around the corner. And while I don’t doubt that the NCAA Tournament will provide us with no shortage of drama and surprises along the way, I must admit, as I look at this prospective tournament field, it’s really beginning to feel like our 4 top seeds are starting to create a considerable amount of space between themselves and the rest of the field.

Of course, this means nothing once the bracket is revealed. Even the teams that feel like the most rock-solid tournament contenders can be had on any given night. But what we may be heading toward is a situation where Arizona, Michigan, UConn and Duke have already locked up No. 1 seeds heading into Championship Week.

Now I say this knowing full well that even though these 4 teams look damn near unbeatable right now, we aren’t going to get to March with these powerhouses having a combined 3 losses. Impossible? No. Unlikely? Of course.

As far as where some of those losses may come, well, I have a few ideas:

February 6 — UConn at St. John’s

February 7 — Duke at North Carolina

February 9 — Arizona at Kansas

February 17 — Michigan at Purdue

February 21 — UConn at Villanova

February 21 — Arizona at Houston

February 21 — Michigan vs. Duke (One of these teams is definitely losing this game)

February 27 — Michigan at Illinois

So here’s the catch — each one of these games could end in an L, but as long as any other unexpected upsets don’t pop up along the way, it may not make a difference when it comes to seeding for the NCAA Tournament. Sure, programs like Illinois, Iowa State, or Houston may very well end up going on a heater and making things interesting. Just don’t be surprised if the 4 teams on the 1-line don’t change from now until March 15.

The Bracket

Bracketology Breakdown

No. 1 Seeds: Arizona Wildcats (West Region), Michigan Wolverines (Midwest Region), UConn Huskies (East Region), Duke Blue Devils (South Region)

Multi-Bid Leagues: ACC (9), Big 12 (7), Big East (3), Big Ten (11), Mountain West (3), SEC (9), WCC (2)

SEC Seeding: Florida (3), Vanderbilt (4), Alabama (6), Arkansas (6), Tennessee (6), Texas A&M (7), Kentucky (8), Auburn (9), Georgia (9)

Prediction Markets
SEC Basketball Regular Season Champion?
Kalshi
Florida
62.0%
Texas A&M
19.0%
Vanderbilt
9.0%
Tennessee
6.0%
Arkansas
3.0%

Bubble Watch

Last 4 Byes: Virginia Tech, USC, New Mexico, Indiana

Last 4 In: San Diego State, UCLA, Miami FL, Ohio State

First 4 Out: Seton Hall, California, Santa Clara, Texas

Next 4 Out: Mizzou, Stanford, TCU, George Mason

10 Biggest Games of the Week

Monday, February 2 – 9 p.m. ET, ESPN – Kansas at Texas Tech

Tuesday, February 3 9 p.m. ET, ESPN2 – NC State at SMU

Wednesday, February 4 – 7 p.m. ET, FS1 UCF at Houston

Wednesday, February 4 – 7 p.m. ET, SEC Network – Texas A&M at Alabama

Wednesday, February 4 – 11 p.m. ET, FS1 – Utah State at New Mexico

Friday, February 68 p.m. ET, FOX – UConn at St. John’s

Saturday, February 76:30 p.m. ET, ESPN – Duke at North Carolina

Saturday, February 7 – 8 p.m. ET, FOX – Illinois at Michigan State

Saturday, February 7 – 10:30 p.m. ET, ESPN – Houston at BYU

Sunday, February 8 1 p.m. ET, CBS – Michigan at Ohio State

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