The 2025 SEC Championship Game is finally here.
For the 11th time in the last 12 seasons, the SEC’s champion will be either Alabama or Georgia. Those 2 powerhouses will meet once again in Atlanta with conference superiority on the line.
Alabama vs. Georgia odds
Alabama is a slight underdog to UGA in this contest. Here’s a look at the up-to-date college football betting odds for this game:
Here’s what you need to know about both teams before betting this game:
Georgia football notes
- Georgia enters this game with an 11-1 record. Its only loss of the season came against Alabama in Athens earlier this year.
- The Bulldogs played their best football in the month of November. After an up-and-down start to the season, Georgia posted a +56 point differential against 4 power-conference opponents in November.
- Georgia does have some injury issues to consider in this game. Starting center Drew Bobo is out for this game after picking up an injury against Georgia Tech.
- Bobo’s absence could have a big impact on UGA’s offense, particularly in the run game. Bobo has been Georgia’s highest-graded offensive lineman this season, per Pro Football Focus.
- Quarterback Gunner Stockton has been up-and-down all season, but is coming off of a very underwhelming game against Georgia Tech. He’s also thrown an interception in 4 of his last 5 contests.
- Nate Frazier and Chauncey Bowens are a formidable tandem in the backfield. Both are averaging over 5 yards per carry this season.
- Georgia has been vulnerable to opposing passing games this season. The Bulldogs are 83rd nationally in EPA-per-dropback allowed, according to Game on Paper.
- Georgia’s secondary has been better in recent weeks, however. The Bulldogs held both Texas and Georgia Tech to under 6 passing yards per attempt. That’s impressive given that both the Longhorns and Yellow Jackets rank in the top 50 nationally in passer efficiency rating.
Alabama football notes
- Alabama is 10-2 on the season but only suffered one conference loss this year. The Crimson Tide could potentially host a first-round Playoff game if they win but would perhaps be on the bubble to make the 12-team field at all if they lose by a significant margin.
- Ty Simpson had a strong start to the season, but has dealt with issues regarding pocket presence and accuracy during SEC play. Simpson lost 5 fumbles this season, which is tied for the most of any player in FBS.
- Simpson’s passer efficiency rating for the season is over 150, but it’s just 125.5 over his last 5 contests. He’s averaged 6.6 yards per attempt and has a 7-to-3 TD-to-INT ratio over that span.
- Alabama also has a number of key injuries worth considering ahead of this game. Running back Jam Miller and tight end Josh Cuevas are 2 offensive starters who are questionable as of Friday night’s availability report.
- Alabama’s defense has been quite good this season, particularly since its season-opening loss to Florida State. The Crimson Tide finished 2nd in the SEC in pass efficiency defense during conference play.
- Alabama’s defense may be a bit more vulnerable than usual due to injury, however. LT Overton and Kelby Collins are among the players expected to miss this game. That could have a big impact on Alabama’s rushing defense.
SEC Championship Game predictions
I like the under in this game. I don’t trust Alabama’s offense to create much given Simpson’s struggles in recent weeks. Stockton isn’t exactly coming into this game on a high, either. I think the Bulldogs will be able to move the ball on the ground, but I think both defenses will be able to get enough stops to keep this total well under the number. These teams combined for 45 points when they met earlier this season and that was with Alabama going a remarkable 13-of-19 on third down. We should see more 3-and-outs in this matchup.
Pick: Under 48.5 points (-115 on DraftKings)
I think Zachariah Branch goes under his receiving yardage total. Branch is a very explosive player, but I think we’ll see Georgia run the ball a lot in this game. Stockton has not been good lately and only threw for 70 yards last week against a pretty lackluster Georgia Tech secondary. I wouldn’t be surprised if Branch ends up with only around 20 pass attempts, which would of course have an impact on Branch’s usage.
Pick: Zachariah Branch under 54.5 receiving yards (-115 on BetMGM)
Not in a legal betting state? You can still get in on the action with Kalshi, a legal predictions market! Kalshi has posted a market for the SEC Championship Game. Here’s a look at the current market prices for both teams:
Spenser is a news editor for Saturday Down South and covers college football across all Saturday Football brands.
