Greg McElroy breaks down win totals for Auburn, Oklahoma in 2024
Greg McElroy broke down Auburn and Oklahoma on the latest episode of Always College Football on Thursday.
The 2024 campaign will be a pivotal one for both the Tigers and Sooners. Auburn is entering Year 2 of the Hugh Freeze era and is hoping to take a big step forward offensively this upcoming season. For Oklahoma, Brent Venables is entering Year 3 in Norman as OU transitions to the SEC this fall.
Both Auburn and Oklahoma have win totals set at 7.5, according to ESPN BET. McElroy made the case for both teams as he ran through the pros and cons of both programs entering the 2024 season.
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For Auburn, McElroy praised how Freeze’s staff has rebuilt the WR room this offseason with the additions of KeAndre Lambert-Smith (Penn State transfer) and Cam Coleman (5-star freshman).
“I think KeAndre Lambert-Smith is rock solid,” McElroy said. “Will he ultimately be the No. 1 wide receiver? I don’t know if I can go that far. But I do think incoming freshman Cam Coleman could be. That guy could be an immediate difference-maker. They really needed to bolster their personnel at wide receiver.”
For Oklahoma, McElroy is optimistic about new starter Jackson Arnold. The Sooners parted ways with Dillon Gabriel after last season, and will now turn to Arnold — a 5-star prospect from the class of 2023 — to fill that void under center.
“Very intrigued by the progression and growth that Jackson Arnold has had,” McElroy said. “He looks like he’s in control. I feel like turnovers are not gonna be an issue. And I think he’s going to do a great job with these new offensive coordinators who I have a ton of respect for in Seth Littrell and Joe Jon Finley.”
However, in the end, McElroy said he’d take Auburn to have more wins than Oklahoma in 2024 — partially because of OU’s difficult schedule.
“I think Oklahoma has a very, very difficult schedule,” McElroy said. “And while I like them an awful lot this year, it’s tough for me to have a ton of confidence in telling you right now that ‘without question, they’re going over the 7.5-win plateau.’
McElroy said he sees 6 “losable” games for Auburn on its schedule and 7 such contests for Oklahoma.
“I actually lean Auburn for 2024 as far as the win-loss record is concerned,” McElroy said. “I think their schedule is more manageable and more gettable … I do think Auburn has a slight advantage over Oklahoma heading into the season.”
Of course, the Tigers and Sooners will have an opportunity to settle this on the field. Auburn hosts OU on Sept. 28.
NJ, PA, VA, MD, WV, MA, KS, KY, LA, TN, CO, AZ, IA, IL, IN, MI, OH
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I think that OU has a slightly better team but a more difficult schedule. My early guess is 7-5 for both.
Taking The over and under bet
8-4 Okie
6-6 Auburn
Or vice versa
I see 6-6 or 7-5 for both teams. They’ll both be hard-pressed to win more than that.
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This Auburn team looks to be below average in 2 major areas: quarterback and defensive line. It’s never a good sign when two 2-time transfers who were backups at their prior schools instantly become the starting d-tackles. At quarterback, the lack of talent at receiver hurt Thorne’s numbers, but they didn’t make him throw pick-6’s into the flat every game. His decision making is dreadful. And after the end of last season, it’s obvious Freeze isn’t gonna outcoach anybody. 7 wins.