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SEC Basketball

ESPN Analytics predicts the outcome of Kentucky vs. Tennessee

Andrew Olson

By Andrew Olson

Published:

Two of the SEC’s hottest teams will face off Saturday night in Rupp Arena. At least a piece of second place in the SEC is on the line when Kentucky hosts No. 25 Tennessee (8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN).

Tennessee has won 5 of its last 6, with its last loss coming against Kentucky on Jan. 17 in Knoxville, 80-78. ESPN Analytics recently weighed in on Round 2.

The Wildcats are trying for the regular-season sweep, and they’ll enter as the betting favorite. The line at DraftKings Sportsbook opened with UK favored by 1.5 points, and it remains there as of Friday night. ESPN’s model agrees, giving Kentucky a 56.1% chance to win at home.

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Since the loss to Kentucky, Tennessee has won 4 in a row. It started with back-to-back road wins over Alabama and Georgia. The Vols followed that up with a win over Auburn to get back into the AP Top 25, and then star freshman Nate Ament helped UT pull away from Ole Miss in midweek action.

Kentucky has won 4 of its last 5, with 2 wins on each side of a blowout loss at Vanderbilt. The Wildcats had a big road win at Arkansas last Saturday, and Otega Oweh and Brandon Garrison made sure to keep things rolling with a double-digit victory over Oklahoma on Wednesday night.

Prediction Markets
2026 College Basketball Champion?
Kalshi
Arizona
18.0%
Michigan
16.0%
Duke
11.0%
Illinois
10.0%
Houston
7.0%
UConn
6.0%
Kansas
6.0%
Florida
6.0%
Iowa St.
5.0%
Purdue
4.0%
Andrew Olson

Andrew writes about sports to fund his love of live music and collection of concert posters. He strongly endorses the Hall of Fame campaigns of Fred Taylor and Andruw Jones.

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